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| /Users/richardhsu/pdf_upload/flagged/Upload PDF/df016a9cf3c724acbaf36497283ca4669fa5629f/2024Q2.pdf,"'Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) Q2 2024 Earnings Conference Call June | |
| 12, 2024 5:00 PM ET | |
| Company Participants | |
| Ji Yoo - Head, IR | |
| Hock Tan - President and CEO | |
| Kirsten Spears - CFO | |
| Charlie Kawwas - President, Semiconductor Solutions Group | |
| Conference Call Participants | |
| Vivek Arya - Bank of America Securities | |
| Ross Seymore - Deutsche Bank | |
| Stacy Rasgon - Bernstein | |
| Harlan Sur - JPMorgan | |
| Ben Reitzes - Melius Research | |
| Toshiya Hari - Goldman Sachs | |
| Blayne Curtis - Jefferies | |
| Timothy Arcuri - UBS | |
| Thomas O'Malley - Barclays | |
| Karl Ackerman - BNP Paribas | |
| CJ Muse - Cantor Fitzgerald | |
| William Stein - Truist Securities | |
| Operator | |
| Welcome to Broadcom Inc. Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2024 Financial | |
| Results Conference Call. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I | |
| would like to turn the call over to Ji Yoo, Head of Investor Relations of | |
| Broadcom Inc. | |
| Ji Yoo | |
| Thank you, Operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Joining me on today's | |
| call are Hock Tan, President and CEO; Kirsten Spears, Chief Financial Officer | |
| and Charlie Kawwas, President, Semiconductor Solutions Group. | |
| Broadcom distributed a press release and financial tables after the market | |
| closed, describing our financial performance for the second quarter of fiscal | |
| year 2024. If you did not receive a copy, you may obtain the information from | |
| the Investor section of Broadcom's website at Broadcom.com. | |
| This conference call is being webcast live and an audio replay of the call can | |
| be accessed for 1 year through the Investor section of Broadcom's website. | |
| During the prepared comments, Hock and Kirsten will be providing details of | |
| our second quarter fiscal year 2024 results, guidance for our fiscal year 2024, | |
| as well as commentary regarding the business environment. We'll take | |
| questions after the end of our prepared comments. | |
| Please refer to our press release today and our recent filings with the SEC | |
| for information on the specific risk factors that could cause our actual results | |
| to differ materially from the forward-looking statements made on this call. In | |
| addition to US GAAP reporting, Broadcom reports certain financial measures | |
| on a non-GAAP basis. A reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP | |
| measures is included in the tables attached to today's press release. | |
| Comments made during today's call will primarily refer to our non-GAAP | |
| financial results. I'll now turn the call over to Hock. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Thank you, Ji. And thank you everyone for joining today. In our fiscal Q2 2024 | |
| results -- consolidated net revenue was $12.5 billion, up 43% year-on-year as | |
| revenue included a full quarter of contribution from VMware. But if we exclude | |
| VMware, consolidated revenue was up 12% year-on-year. And this 12% | |
| organic growth in revenue was largely driven by AI revenue, which stepped up | |
| 280% year-on-year to $3.1 billion, more than offsetting continued cyclical | |
| weakness in semiconductor revenue from enterprises and telcos. | |
| Let me now give you more color on our two reporting segments. Beginning | |
| with software. In Q2 infrastructure software segment revenue of $5.3 billion | |
| was up 175% year-on-year and included $2.7 billion in revenue contribution | |
| from VMware, up from $2.1 billion in the prior quarter. The integration of | |
| VMware is going very well. Since we acquired VMware, we have modernized | |
| the product SKUs from over 8,000 disparate SKUs to four core product | |
| offerings and simplified the go-to-market flow, eliminating a huge amount of | |
| channel conflicts. | |
| We are making good progress in transitioning all VMware products to a | |
| subscription licensing model. And since closing the deal, we have actually | |
| signed up close to 3,000 of our largest 10,000 customers to enable them to | |
| build a self-service virtual private cloud on-prem. Each of these customers | |
| typically sign up to a multi-year contract, which we normalize into an annual | |
| measure known as Annualized Booking Value, or ABV. This metric, ABV for | |
| VMware products, accelerated from $1.2 billion in Q1 to $1.9 billion in Q2. | |
| For reference, for the consolidated Broadcom software portfolio, ABV grew | |
| from $1.9 billion in Q1 to $2.8 billion over the same period in Q2. Meanwhile, | |
| we have integrated SG&A across the entire platform and eliminated | |
| redundant functions. Year-to-date, we have incurred about $2 billion of | |
| restructuring and integration costs and drove our spending run rate at | |
| VMware to $1.6 billion this quarter, from what used to be $2.3 billion per | |
| quarter pre-acquisition. | |
| We expect spending will continue to decline towards a $1.3 billion run rate | |
| exiting Q4, better than our previous $1.4 billion plan, and will likely stabilize at | |
| $1.2 billion post-integration. VMware revenue in Q1 was $2.1 billion, grew to | |
| $2.7 billion in Q2, and will accelerate towards a $4 billion per quarter run rate. | |
| We therefore expect operating margins for VMware to begin to converge | |
| towards that of classic Broadcom software by fiscal 2025. | |
| Turning to semiconductors, let me give you more color by end markets. | |
| Networking. Q2 revenue of $3.8 billion grew 44% year-on-year, representing | |
| 53% of semiconductor revenue. This was again driven by strong demand from | |
| hyperscalers for both AI networking and custom accelerators. It's interesting | |
| to note that as AI data center clusters continue to deploy, our revenue mix has | |
| been shifting towards an increasing proportion of networking. | |
| We doubled the number of switches we sold year-on-year, particularly the | |
| PAM-5 and Jericho3, which we deployed successfully in close collaboration | |
| with partners like Arista Networks, Dell, Juniper, and Supermicro. Additionally, | |
| we also double our shipments of PCI Express switches and NICs in the AI | |
| backend fabric. We're leading the rapid transition of optical interconnects in AI | |
| data centers to 800 gigabit bandwidth, which is driving accelerated growth for | |
| our DSPs, optical lasers, and PIN diodes. And we are not standing still. | |
| Together with these same partners, we are developing the next generation | |
| switches, DSP, and optics that will drive the ecosystem towards 1.6 terabit | |
| connectivity to scale out larger AI accelerated clusters. | |
| Talking of AI accelerators, you may know our hyperscale customers are | |
| accelerating their investments to scale up the performance of these clusters. | |
| And to that end, we have just been awarded the next generation custom AI | |
| accelerators for these hyperscale customers of ours. Networking these AI | |
| accelerators is very challenging, but the technology does exist today. In | |
| Broadcom, with the deepest and broadest understanding of what it takes for | |
| complex, large workloads to be scaled out in an AI fabric. Proof in | |
| point, seven of the largest eight AI clusters in deployment today use | |
| Broadcom Ethernet solutions. | |
| Next year, we expect all mega-scale GPU deployments to be on Ethernet. We | |
| expect the strength in AI to continue, and because of that, we now expect | |
| networking revenue to grow 40% year-on-year compared to our prior | |
| guidance of over 35% growth. Moving to wireless. Q2 wireless revenue of | |
| $1.6 billion grew 2% year-on-year, was seasonally down 19% quarter-on- | |
| quarter and represents 22% of semiconductor revenue. | |
| And in fiscal '24, helped by content increases, we reiterate our previous | |
| guidance for wireless revenue to be essentially flat year-on-year. This trend is | |
| wholly consistent with our continued engagement with our North American | |
| customer, which is deep, strategic, and multiyear and represents all of our | |
| wireless business. Next, our Q2 server storage connectivity revenue was | |
| $824 million or 11% of semiconductor revenue, down 27% year-on-year. We | |
| believe though, Q2 was the bottom in server storage. And based on updated | |
| demand forecast and bookings, we expect a modest recovery in the second | |
| half of the year. And accordingly, we forecast fiscal '24 server storage | |
| revenue to decline around the 20% range year-on-year. | |
| Moving on to broadband. Q2 revenue declined 39% year-on-year to $730 | |
| million and represented 10% of semiconductor revenue. Broadband remains | |
| weak on the continued pause in telco and service provider spending. We | |
| expect Broadcom to bottom in the second half of the year with a recovery in | |
| 2025. Accordingly, we are revising our outlook for fiscal '24 broadband | |
| revenue to be down high 30s year-on-year from our prior guidance for a | |
| decline of just over 30% year-on-year. | |
| Finally, Q2 industrial rev -- resale of $234 million declined 10% year-on-year. | |
| And for fiscal '24, we now expect industrial resale to be down double-digit | |
| percentage year-on-year compared to our prior guidance for high single-digit | |
| decline. | |
| So to sum it all up, here's what we are seeing. For fiscal '24, we expect | |
| revenue from AI to be much stronger at over $11 billion. Non-AI | |
| semiconductor revenue has bottomed in Q2 and is likely to recover modestly | |
| for the second half of fiscal '24. | |
| On infrastructure software, we're making very strong progress in integrating | |
| VMware and accelerating its growth. Pulling all these three key factors | |
| together, we are raising our fiscal '24 revenue guidance to $51 billion. And | |
| with that, let me turn the call over to Kirsten. | |
| Kirsten Spears | |
| Thank you, Hock. Let me now provide additional detail on our Q2 financial | |
| performance, which included a full quarter of contribution from VMware. | |
| Consolidated revenue was $12.5 billion for the quarter, up 43% from a year | |
| ago. Excluding the contribution from VMware, Q2 revenue increased 12% | |
| year-on-year. Gross margins were 76.2% of revenue in the quarter. Operating | |
| expenses were $2.4 billion and R&D was $1.5 billion, both up year-on-year | |
| primarily due to the consolidation of VMware. | |
| Q2 operating income was $7.1 billion and was up 32% from a year ago with | |
| operating margin at 57% of revenue. Excluding transition costs, operating | |
| profit of $7.4 billion was up 36% from a year ago, with operating margin of | |
| 59% of revenue. Adjusted EBITDA was $7.4 billion or 60% of revenue. This | |
| figure excludes $149 million of depreciation. Now a review of the P&L for our | |
| two segments, starting with semiconductors. Revenue for our semiconductor | |
| solutions segment was $7.2 billion and represented 58% of total revenue in | |
| the quarter. This was up 6% year-on-year. | |
| Gross margins for our semiconductor solutions segment were approximately | |
| 67%, down 370 basis points year-on-year, driven primarily by a higher mix of | |
| custom AI accelerators. Operating expenses increased 4% year-on-year to | |
| $868 million on increased investment in R&D, resulting in semiconductor | |
| operating margins of 55%. | |
| Now moving on to infrastructure software. Revenue for infrastructure software | |
| was $5.3 billion, up 170% year-on-year, primarily due to the contribution of | |
| VMware and represented 42% of revenue. Gross margin for infrastructure | |
| software were 88% in the quarter, and operating expenses were $1.5 billion in | |
| the quarter, resulting in infrastructure software operating margin of 60%. | |
| Excluding transition costs, operating margin was 64%. | |
| Now moving on to cash flow. Free cash flow in the quarter was $4.4 billion | |
| and represented 36% of revenues. Excluding cash used for restructuring and | |
| integration of $830 million, free cash flows of $5.3 billion were up 18% year-on | |
| -year and represented 42% of revenue. Free cash flow as a percentage of | |
| revenue has declined from 2023 due to higher cash interest expense from | |
| debt related to the VMware acquisition and higher cash taxes due to a higher | |
| mix of US income and the delay in the reenactment of Section 174. | |
| We spent $132 million on capital expenditures. Days sales outstanding were | |
| 40 days in the second quarter, consistent with 41 days in the first quarter. We | |
| ended the second quarter with inventory of $1.8 billion down 4% sequentially. | |
| We continue to remain disciplined on how we manage inventory across our | |
| ecosystem. We ended the second quarter with $9.8 billion of cash and $74 | |
| billion of gross debt. The weighted average coupon rate and years to maturity | |
| of our $48 billion in fixed rate debt is 3.5% and 8.2 years respectively. | |
| The weighted average coupon rate and years to maturity of our $28 billion in | |
| floating rate debt is 6.6% and 2.8 years, respectively. During the quarter, we | |
| repaid $2 billion of our floating rate debt, and we intend to maintain this | |
| quarterly repayment of debt throughout fiscal 2024. Turning to capital | |
| allocation. In the quarter, we paid stockholders $2.4 billion of cash dividends | |
| based on a quarterly common stock cash dividend of $5.25 per share. | |
| In Q2, non-GAAP diluted share count was 492 million as the 54 million shares | |
| issued for the VMware acquisition were fully weighted in the second quarter. | |
| We paid $1.5 billion withholding taxes due on vesting of employee equity, | |
| resulting in the elimination of 1.2 million AVGO shares. Today, we are | |
| announcing a 10-for-1 forward stock split of Broadcom's common stock to | |
| make ownership of Broadcom stock more accessible to investors and to | |
| employees. | |
| Our stockholders of record after the close of market on July 11, 2024, will | |
| receive an additional nine shares of common stock after the close of market | |
| on July 12, with trading on a split-adjusted basis expected to commence at | |
| market open on July 15, 2024. In Q3, reflecting a post-split basis, we expect | |
| share count to be approximately 4.92 billion shares. | |
| Now on to guidance. We are raising our guidance for fiscal year 2024 | |
| consolidated revenue to $51 billion and adjusted EBITDA to 61%. For | |
| modeling purposes, please keep in mind that GAAP net income and cash | |
| flows in fiscal year 2024 are impacted by restructuring and integration-related | |
| cash costs due to the VMware acquisition. That concludes my prepared | |
| remarks. Operator, please open up the call for questions. | |
| Question-and-Answer Session | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from the | |
| line of Vivek Arya with Bank of America. Your line is open. | |
| Vivek Arya | |
| Thanks for taking my question. Hock, I would appreciate your perspective on | |
| the emerging competition between Broadcom and NVIDIA across both | |
| Accelerators and Ethernet switching. So on the Accelerator side, they are | |
| going to launch their Blackwell product that many of the same customers that | |
| you have a very large position in the custom compute. So I'm curious how you | |
| think customers are going to do that allocation decision, just broadly what the | |
| visibility is. | |
| And then I think Part B of that is as they launch their Spectrum-X Ethernet | |
| switch, do you think that poses increasing competition for Broadcom and the | |
| Ethernet switching side in AI for next year? Thank you. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Very interesting question, Vivek. On AI accelerators, I think we are operating | |
| on a different -- to start with scale, much as a different model. It is -- and on | |
| the GPUs, which are the AI accelerator of choice on merchant -- in a | |
| merchant environment is something that is extremely powerful as a model. It's | |
| something that NVIDIA operates in, in a very, very effective manner. | |
| We don't even think about competing against them in that space, not in the | |
| least. That's where they're very good at and we know where we stand with | |
| respect to that. Now what we do for very selected or selective hyperscalers is, | |
| if there's a scale and the skills to try to create silicon solutions, which are AI | |
| accelerators to do particular very complex AI workloads. We are happy to use | |
| our IP portfolio to create those custom ASIC AI accelerator. So I do not see | |
| them as truly competing against each other. And far for me to say I'm trying to | |
| position myself to be a competitor on basically GPUs in this market. We're | |
| not. We are not a competitor to them. We don't try to be, either. | |
| Now on networking, maybe that's different. But again people may be | |
| approaching and they may be approaching it from a different angle. We are as | |
| I indicated all along, very deep in Ethernet as we've been doing Ethernet for | |
| over 25 years, Ethernet networking. And we've gone through a lot of market | |
| transitions, and we have captured a lot of market transitions from cloud-scale | |
| networking to routing and now AI. So it is a natural extension for us to go into | |
| AI. We also recognize that being the AI compute engine of choice in | |
| merchants in the ecosystem, which is GPUs, that they are trying to create a | |
| platform that is probably end-to-end very integrated. | |
| We take the approach that we don't do those GPUs, but we enable the GPUs | |
| to work very well. So if anything else, we supplement and hopefully | |
| complement those GPUs with customers who are building bigger and bigger | |
| GPU clusters. | |
| Vivek Arya | |
| Thank you. | |
| Operator | |
| One moment for our next question, and that will come from the line of Ross | |
| Seymore with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open. | |
| Ross Seymore | |
| Hi guys. Thanks for taking my question. I want to stick on the AI theme, Hock. | |
| The strong growth that you had in the quarter, the 280% year-over-year, could | |
| you delineate a little bit between if that's the compute offload side versus the | |
| connectivity side? And then as you think about the growth for the full year, | |
| how are those split in that realm as well? Are they kind of going hand-in- | |
| hand? Or is one side growing significantly faster than the other, especially | |
| with the I guess, you said the next-generation accelerators are now going to | |
| be Broadcom as well? | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Well, to answer your question on the mix, you are right. It's something we | |
| don’t really predict very well, not understand completely except in hindsight. | |
| Because it's like, to some extent, to the cadence of deployment of when they | |
| put in the AI accelerators versus when they put in the infrastructure that puts it | |
| together, the networking. And we don't really quite understand it 100%. All we | |
| know, it used to be 80% accelerators, 20% networking. It's now running closer | |
| to two-thirds accelerators, one-thirds networking and we'll probably head | |
| towards 60%-40% by the close of the year. | |
| Ross Seymore | |
| Thank you. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. One moment for our next question. And that will come from the | |
| line of Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein. Your line is open. | |
| Stacy Rasgon | |
| Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to ask about the $11 billion | |
| AI guide. You'd be at $11.6 billion even if you didn't grow AI from the current | |
| level in the second half. And it feels to me like you're not suggesting that. It | |
| feels to me like you think you could be [guided] (ph). So why wouldn't that AI | |
| number be a lot more than $11.6 billion? It feels like it ought to be. Or am I | |
| missing something? | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Because I guided just over $11 billion, Stacy could be what you think it is. It's | |
| -- quarterly shipments get sometimes very lumpy. And it depends on rate of | |
| deployment, depends on a lot of things. So you may be right. You may | |
| estimate it better than I do, but the general trajectory is getting better. | |
| Stacy Rasgon | |
| Okay. So I guess again, how do I -- are you just suggesting that, that more | |
| than $11 billion is sort of like the worst it could be because that would just be | |
| flat at the current levels, but you're also suggesting that things are getting | |
| better into the back half? | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Correct. | |
| Stacy Rasgon | |
| Okay. So I guess we just take that, that's a very -- if I'm reading it wrong, | |
| that's just a very conservative number? | |
| Hock Tan | |
| That's the best forecast I have at this point, Stacy. | |
| Stacy Rasgon | |
| All right. Okay, Hock, thank you. I appreciate it. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Thank you. | |
| Operator | |
| One moment for our next question, and that will come from the line of Harlan | |
| Sur with JPMorgan. Your line is open. | |
| Harlan Sur | |
| Yeah, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. Hock, on cloud and AI | |
| networking silicon, good to see that the networking mix is steadily increasing. | |
| Like clockwork, the Broadcom team has been driving a consistent two year | |
| cadence, right of new product introductions, Trident, Tomahawk, Jericho | |
| family of switching and routing products for the past seven generations. You | |
| layer on top of that your GPU -- TPU customers are accelerating their | |
| cadence of new product introductions and deployments of their products. | |
| So is this also driving faster adoption curve for your latest Tomahawk and | |
| Jericho products? And then maybe just as importantly, like clockwork, it is | |
| been two years since you've introduced Tomahawk 5 product introduction, | |
| right which if I look back historically, means you have silicon and are getting | |
| ready to introduce your next-generation three-nanometer Tomahawk 6 | |
| products, which would, I think, puts you two years to three years ahead of | |
| your competitors. Can you just give us an update there? | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Harlan, you're pretty insightful there. Yes, we launched Tomahawk 5 in 2023. | |
| So you're right, by late 2025, the time we should be coming out with | |
| Tomahawk 6, which is the 100 terabit switch, yes. | |
| Harlan Sur | |
| And is the -- is this acceleration of cadence by your GPU and TPU partners, is | |
| that also what's kind of driving the strong growth in the networking products? | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Well, you know what, sometimes you have to let things take its time. But it's | |
| two-year cadence so we're right on. Late 2023, once when we shoot it out to a | |
| Tomahawk 5 and adoption. You're correct with AI has been tremendous | |
| because it ties in with the need for a very large bandwidth in the networking, | |
| in the fabric for AI clusters, AI data centers. But regardless, we have always | |
| targeted Tomahawk 6 to be out two years after that, which should put it into | |
| late '25. | |
| Harlan Sur | |
| Okay, thank you Hock. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. One moment for our next question, and that will come from the | |
| line of Ben Reitzes with Melius. Your line is open. | |
| Ben Reitzes | |
| Hi, thanks a lot. And congrats on the quarter and guide. Hock, I wanted to talk | |
| a little bit more about VMware. Just wanted to clarify if it is indeed going better | |
| than expectations. And how would you characterize the customer willingness | |
| to move to subscription? And also just a little more color on Cloud Foundation. | |
| You've cut the price there, and are you seeing that beat expectations? Thanks | |
| a lot. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Thanks, and thanks for your kind regards on the quarter. But it's -- as far as | |
| VMware is concerned, we're making good progress. The journey is not over | |
| by any means, but it is pretty much very much to expectation. Moving to | |
| subscription, well, in VMware we are very slow compared to, I mean a lot of | |
| other guys, Microsoft, Salesforce, Oracle, who have already been pretty much | |
| in subscription. So VMware is late in that process. But we're trying to make up | |
| for it by offering it and offering it in a very, very compelling manner because | |
| subscription is the right things to do, right? | |
| It's a situation where you put out your product offering, and you update it, | |
| patch it, but update it feature-wise, everything as capabilities on a continual | |
| basis, almost like getting your news on an ongoing basis, subscription online | |
| versus getting it in a printed manner once a week. That's how I compare | |
| perpetual to subscription. So it is very interesting for a lot of people to want to | |
| can't get on. And so to no surprise, they are getting on very well. The big | |
| selling point we have as I indicated, is the fact that we are not just trying to | |
| keep customers kind of stuck on just server or compute virtualization. | |
| That's a great product, great technology, but it's been out for 20 years. Based | |
| on what we are offering now at a very compelling price point, compelling in a | |
| very attractive price point, the whole stack, software stack to use vSphere and | |
| its basic fundamental technology to virtualize networking, storage, operation | |
| and management, the entire data center and create this self-service private | |
| cloud. | |
| And thanks for saying it, you're right, and we have priced it down to the point | |
| where it is comparable with just compute virtualization. So yes, that is getting | |
| a lot of interest, a lot of attention from the customers. We have signed up who | |
| would like to deploy -- the ability to deploy private cloud, their own private | |
| cloud on-prem. As a nice complement, maybe even alternative or hybrid to | |
| public clouds, that's the selling point, and we are getting a lot of interest from | |
| our customers in doing that. | |
| Ben Reitzes | |
| Great. And it's on track for $4 billion by the fourth quarter still, which is | |
| reiterated? | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Well, I didn't give a specific time frame, did I? But it's on track as we see this | |
| process growing towards a $4 billion quarter. | |
| Ben Reitzes | |
| Okay, thanks a lot Hock. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Thanks. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. One moment for our next question, and that will come from the | |
| line of Toshiya Hari with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. | |
| Toshiya Hari | |
| Hi, thank you so much for taking my question. I guess kind of a follow-up to | |
| the previous question on your software business. Hock, you seem to have | |
| pretty good visibility into hitting that $4 billion run rate over the medium term, | |
| perhaps. You also talked about your operating margin in that business | |
| converging to classic Broadcom levels. I know the integration is not done and | |
| you're still kind of in debt paydown mode. But how should we think about your | |
| growth strategy beyond VMware? Do you think you have enough drivers, both | |
| on the semiconductor side and the software side to continue to drive growth | |
| or is M&A still an option beyond VMware? Thank you. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Interesting question. And you're right. As I indicated in my remarks, even we | |
| found the contribution from VMware this past quarter where we have AI | |
| helping us, but we have non-AI semiconductor sort of bottoming out. We're | |
| able to show 12% organic growth year-on-year. So almost have to say, so do | |
| we need to rush to buy another company? Answer is no. But all options are | |
| always open because we are trying to create the best value for our | |
| shareholders who have entrusted us with the capital to do that. | |
| So I would not discount that alternative because our strategy, our long-term | |
| model has always been to grow through a combination of acquisition, but also | |
| on the assets we acquire to really improve, invest, and operate them better to | |
| show organic growth as well. But again, organic growth often enough is | |
| determined very much by how fast your market would grow. So we do look | |
| towards acquisitions now and then. | |
| Toshiya Hari | |
| All right. Thank you. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. One moment for our next question, and that will come from the | |
| line of Blayne Curtis with Jefferies. Your line is open. | |
| Blayne Curtis | |
| Hi, thanks for taking my question. I wanted to ask you Hock, on the | |
| networking business kind of ex AI. Obviously, I think there's an inventory | |
| correction the whole industry is seeing. But just kind of curious, I don't think | |
| you mentioned that it was at a bottom. So just the perspective, I think it's | |
| down about [60%] (ph) year-over-year. Is that business finding a bottom? I | |
| know you said overall whole semi business should -- non-AI should see a | |
| recovery. Are you expecting any there any perspective on just customer | |
| inventory levels in that segment? | |
| Hock Tan | |
| We see it behaving. I didn't particularly call it out, obviously because more | |
| than anything else, I kind of link it very much to server storage, non-AI that is. | |
| And we call server storage as at a bottom Q2, and we call it to recover | |
| modestly second half of the year. We see the same thing in networking, which | |
| is a combination of enterprise networking, as well as the hyperscalers who run | |
| their traditional workloads on those, though it's hard to figure out sometimes. | |
| But it is. So we see the same trajectory as we are calling out on server | |
| storage. | |
| Blayne Curtis | |
| Okay, thank you. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. One moment for our next question, and that will come from the | |
| line of Timothy Arcuri with UBS. Your line is open. Mr. Arcuri, your line is | |
| open. | |
| Timothy Arcuri | |
| Hi, sorry. Thanks. Hock, is there a way to sort of map GPU demand back to | |
| your AI networking opportunity? I think I've heard you say in the past that if | |
| you spent $10 billion on GPU compute, you need to spend another $10 billion | |
| on other [infrastructure] (ph), most of which is networking. So I'm just kind of | |
| wondering if when you see these big GPU numbers, is there sort of a rule of | |
| thumb that you use to map it back to what the opportunity will be for you? | |
| Thanks. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| There is, but it's so complex, I stopped creating such a model, Tim. I've said it. | |
| But there is because one would say that for every -- you almost say, for every | |
| $1 billion you spend on GPU, you probably would spend probably on | |
| networking, and if we include the optical interconnects as part of it, though we | |
| are not totally in that market, except for the components like DSPs, lasers, | |
| PIN diodes that go into those, high-bandwidth optical connect. But if you just | |
| take optical connects in totality, switching, all the networking components, it | |
| goes into -- attaches itself to clustering a bunch of GPUs, you probably would | |
| say that about 25% of the value of the GPU goes to networking, the rest on | |
| networking. | |
| Now not entirely all of it is my available market. I don't do the optical connects, | |
| but I do the few components I talked about in it. But roughly, the simple way to | |
| look at it is probably about 25%, maybe 30% of all these infrastructure | |
| components is kind of attached to the GPU value point itself. But having said | |
| that, it's never – we are never that precise that deployment is the same way. | |
| So you may see the deployment of GPU or purchase of GPU much earlier. | |
| And the networking comes later or sometimes less the other way around, | |
| which is why you're seeing the mix going on within my AI revenue mix. But | |
| typically, you run towards that range over time. | |
| Timothy Arcuri | |
| Perfect Hock, thank you so much. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. One moment for our next question, and that will come from the | |
| line of Thomas O'Malley with Barclays. Your line is open. | |
| Thomas O’Malley | |
| Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. And nice results. My question in | |
| regards to the custom ASIC AI. Hock, you had a long run here of a very | |
| successful business, particularly with one customer. If you look in the market | |
| today, you have a new entrant who's playing with different customers. And I | |
| know that you said historically, that's not really a direct customer to you. But | |
| could you talk about what differentiates you from the new entrant in the | |
| market as of late? And then there's been profitability questions around the | |
| sustainability of gross margins longer term. Can you talk about if you see any | |
| increased competition? And if there's really areas that you would deem more | |
| or less defensible in your profile today? And if you would see kind of that | |
| additional entrant maybe attack any of those in the future? | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Let me take the second part first, which is our AI -- custom AI accelerator | |
| business. It is a very profitable business, and let me put to scale -- look | |
| examine from a model point of view. I mean, each of these AI accelerators no | |
| different from a GPU. The way these large language models get run | |
| computing, get run on these accelerators, no one single accelerator, as you | |
| know, can run these big large language models. You need multiple of it no | |
| matter how powerful those accelerators are. | |
| But also, and the way the models are run, there is a lot of memory access to | |
| memory requirements. So each of this accelerator comes with a large amount | |
| of cache memory, as you call it, what you guys probably now know as HBM, | |
| high-bandwidth memory specialized for AI accelerators or GPUs. So we're | |
| supplying both in our custom business. | |
| And the logic side of it, where the compute function is on doing the chips, the | |
| margin there are no different than the margin in any -- in most of any of a | |
| semiconductor silicon chip business. But when you're attached to it, a huge | |
| amount of memory, memory comes from a third-party. There are a few | |
| memory makers who make this specialized thing. We don't do margin | |
| stacking on that part. So by almost buying basic math will dilute the margin of | |
| these AI accelerators when you sell them with memory, which we do. It does | |
| push up revenue somewhat higher but it has diluted the margin. | |
| But regardless, the spend, the R&D, the OpEx that goes to support this as a | |
| percent of the revenue, which is higher revenue, so much less. So on an | |
| operating margin level, this is easily as profitable, if not more profitable, given | |
| the scale that each of those custom AI accelerators can go up to. It's even | |
| better than our normal operating margin scale. So that's the return on | |
| investment that attracts and keeps us going at this game. And this is more | |
| than a game. It is a very difficult business. And to answer your first question, | |
| there is only one Broadcom, period. | |
| Thomas O'Malley | |
| Thanks Hock. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. One moment for our next question, and that will come from the | |
| line of Karl Ackerman with BNP. Your line is open. | |
| Karl Ackerman | |
| Hi, thank you. Good afternoon. Hock, your networking switch portfolio with | |
| Tomahawk and Jericho chipsets allows hyperscalers to build AI clusters using | |
| either a switch-scheduled or endpoint-scheduled network. And that, of course | |
| is unique among competitors. But as hyperscalers seek to deploy their own | |
| unique AI clusters, are you seeing a growing mix of white-box networking | |
| switch deployments? I ask because while your custom sales and business | |
| continues to broaden, it will be helpful to better understand the growing mix of | |
| your $11 billion AI networking portfolio combined this year. Thank you. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Let me have Charlie address this question. He's the expert. | |
| Charlie Kawwas | |
| Yes. Thank you, Hock. So two quick things on this. One is the – you are | |
| exactly right that the portfolio we have is quite unique in providing that | |
| flexibility. And by the way, this is exactly why Hock, in his statements earlier | |
| on, mentioned that seven out of the top eight hyperscalers use our portfolio. | |
| And they use it specifically because it provides that flexibility. So whether you | |
| have an architecture that's based on an endpoint and you want to actually | |
| build your platform that way or you want that switching to happen in the fabric | |
| itself, that's why we have the full end-to-end portfolio. So that actually has | |
| been a proven differentiator for us. | |
| And then on top of that, we've been working, as you know, to provide a | |
| complete network operating system that's open on top of that using SONiC | |
| and Psi, which has been deployed in many of the hyperscalers. And so the | |
| combination of the portfolio plus the stack really differentiates the solution that | |
| we can offer to these hyperscalers. And if they decide to build their own NICs, | |
| their own accelerators are custom or use standard products, whether it is from | |
| Broadcom or other, that platform, that portfolio of infrastructure switching | |
| gives you that full flexibility. | |
| Karl Ackerman | |
| Thank you. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. One moment for our next question, and that will come from the | |
| line of C.J. Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is open. | |
| CJ Muse | |
| Yeah. Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. I was hoping to ask | |
| two part software question. So excluding VMware, your Brocade, CA, and | |
| Symantec business now running $500 million higher for the last two quarters. | |
| So curious, is that the new sustainable run rate or were there onetime events | |
| in both January and April that we should be considering? | |
| And then the second question is as you think about VMware Cloud | |
| Foundation adoption, are you seeing any sort of crowding out of spending like | |
| other software guys are seeing as they repurpose their budgets to IT? Or is | |
| that business so less discretionary that it's just not an impact to you? Thanks | |
| so much. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Well, on the second one, I don't know about any crowding out, to be honest. | |
| It's not. What we are offering, obviously, is not something that they would like | |
| to use themselves, to be able to do themselves, which is they're already | |
| spending on building their own on-prem data centers. And typical approach | |
| people take, a lot of enterprises take historically continue today than most | |
| people do a lot, people do is they have best of breed. | |
| What I mean is they create a data center that is compute as a separate | |
| category, best compute there is and they often enough use vSphere for | |
| compute virtualization due to improved productivity, but best of breed there. | |
| And best of breed on networking and best of breed on storage with a common | |
| management operations layer, which very often is also VMware we realize. | |
| And what we're trying to say is this mixed bag, and what they see -- is this | |
| mixed bag best of [big] (ph) data center, very heterogenous, is not driving | |
| that, is not a highly resilient data center. | |
| I mean, you have a mixed bag. So it goes down. Where do you find quickly | |
| root cause? Everybody is pointing fingers at the other. So you got a problem, | |
| not very resilient and not necessary secure between bare metal in one side | |
| and software on the other side. | |
| So it's a natural thinking on the part of many CIOs we talk to, to say, hey, I | |
| want to create one common platform as opposed to just [best-of-breed of age] | |
| (ph). So that gets us into that. So it is a greenfield that’s not bad, they started | |
| from scratch. If it's a brownfield, that means they have existing data centers | |
| trying to upgrade. It's -- that sometimes that's more challenging for us to get | |
| that adopted. | |
| So I'm not sure there's a crowding out here. There's some competition, | |
| obviously, on greenfield, where they can spend their budget on an entire | |
| platform versus best-of-breed. But on the existing data center where you're | |
| trying to upgrade, that's a trickier thing to do. And it cuts the other way as well | |
| for us. So that's how I see it. So in that sense, best answer is I don't think | |
| we're seeing a level of crowding out that is -- any and that very significant for | |
| me to mention. | |
| In terms of the revenue mix, no, Brocade is having a great, great field year so | |
| far and still chugging along. But will that sustain? Hell no, you know that. | |
| Brocade goes through cycles like most enterprise purchases. So we're | |
| enjoying it while it lasts. | |
| CJ Muse | |
| Thank you. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Thanks. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. And we do have time for one final question, and that will come | |
| from the line of William Stein with Truist Securities. Your line is open. | |
| William Stein | |
| Great. Thanks for squeezing me in. Hock, congrats on the yet another great | |
| quarter and a strong outlook in AI. I also want to ask about something you | |
| mentioned with VMware. In your prepared remarks, you highlighted that | |
| you've eliminated a tremendous amount of channel conflict. I'm hoping you | |
| can linger on this a little bit and clarify maybe what you did. And specifically | |
| also what you did in the heritage Broadcom software business, where I think | |
| historically, you've shied away from the channel. And there was an idea that | |
| perhaps you'd reintroduce those products to the channel through a more | |
| unified approach using VMware's channel partners or resources. So any sort | |
| of clarification here, I think, would be helpful. | |
| Hock Tan | |
| Yes, thank you. That's a great question. Yes, VMware taught me a few things. | |
| They have 300,000 customers, 300,000. That's pretty amazing. And we look | |
| at it. I know under CA, we took a position that let's pick an A-list strategic guy | |
| and focus on it. I can't do that in VMware. I approached it differently. And I | |
| start to learn the value of a very strong bunch of partners they have, which are | |
| a network of distributors and something like 15,000 VARs, value-added | |
| resales supported with these distributors. | |
| So we have doubled down and invested in this resale network in a big way for | |
| VMware. It's a great move, I think but six months into the game. But we are | |
| seeing a lot more velocity out of it. Now these resellers, having said that, tend | |
| to be very focused on a very long tail of their 300,000 customers. The largest | |
| 10,000 customers of VMware are large enterprises who tend to -- they are | |
| very large enterprises, the largest banks, the largest health care companies. | |
| And their view is I want very bespoke service, support, engineering solutions | |
| from us. So we've created a direct approach, supplemented with the VAR of | |
| choice where they need to. But on the long tail of 300,000 customers, they get | |
| a lot of services from the resellers, value-added resellers, and so in their way. | |
| So we now strengthen that whole network of resellers so that they can go | |
| direct, manage, supported financially with distributors. | |
| And we don't try to challenge those guys unless the customers. On the end of | |
| the day, the customer chose where they like to be supported. So we kind of | |
| simplify this together with the number of SKUs they have. In the past, unlike | |
| what we're trying to do here, everybody is a partner. I mean, you're talking a | |
| full range of partners. And whoever makes the biggest deal gets the lowest. | |
| The partner that makes the biggest deal gets the lower -- biggest discount, | |
| lowest price. And they are out there basically kind of creating a lot of channel | |
| chaos and conflict in the marketplace. | |
| Here, we don't. The customers, I am aware. They can take it direct from | |
| VMware to their direct sales force or they can easily move to the resellers to | |
| get it that way. And as a third alternative which we offer, if they chose not -- | |
| they want to run their applications on VMware and they want to run it | |
| efficiently on a full stack. They have a choice now of going to a hosted | |
| environment managed by network of managed service providers, which we | |
| set up globally, that will run the infrastructure, invest and operate the | |
| infrastructure. And these enterprise customers just run their workloads in and | |
| get it as a service, basically VMware as a service. That's a third alternative, | |
| and we are clear to make it very distinct and differentiated for our end-use | |
| customers. They're available to all three is how they choose to consume our | |
| technology. | |
| William Stein | |
| Great. Thank you. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you. I would now like to hand the call over to Ji Yoo, Head of Investor | |
| Relations, for any closing remarks. | |
| Ji Yoo | |
| Thank you, Cherie. Broadcom currently plans to report its earnings for the | |
| third quarter of fiscal '24 after close of market on Thursday, September 5, | |
| 2024. A public webcast of Broadcom's earnings conference call will follow at | |
| 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time. That will conclude our earnings call today. Thank you | |
| all for joining. Operator, you may end the call. | |
| Operator | |
| Thank you all for participating. This concludes today's program. You may now | |
| disconnect. | |
| ",,,2024-07-25 21:01:29.337394 | |