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<!DOCTYPE html>
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<title>Vietnam Economic Growth Report 2025</title>
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</head>
<body>
<header>
  <h1>Vietnam Economic Growth Report 2025</h1>
</header>
<div id="container">
  <nav id="toc" aria-label="Table of Contents">
    <h2><i class="fas fa-list"></i> Contents</h2>
    <ul>
      <li><a href="#executive-summary" class="active">Executive Summary</a></li>
      <li><a href="#indicators">Key Indicators</a></li>
      <li><a href="#sectoral">Sectoral Analysis</a></li>
      <li><a href="#challenges">Challenges & Risks</a></li>
      <li><a href="#history">Historical Comparison</a></li>
      <li><a href="#outlook">Economic Outlook</a></li>
      <li><a href="#sources">Sources & Citations</a></li>
    </ul>
  </nav>
  <main>
    <section id="executive-summary" data-nav="Executive Summary">
      <h2>Executive Summary</h2>
      <p>Vietnam's economy continues to demonstrate robust growth momentum in 2025, with GDP expanding 7.96% in Q2. The first half of 2025 recorded the highest mid-year performance since 2011, driven by services and manufacturing sectors amidst external challenges like global trade tensions and US tariffs.</p>
    </section>

    <section id="indicators" data-nav="Key Indicators 2025">
      <h2>Key Economic Indicators 2025</h2>
      <h3>1. GDP Growth Performance</h3>
      <p><strong>Actual Results:</strong></p>
      <ul>
        <li><strong>Q1 2025:</strong> 6.9% YoY</li>
        <li><strong>Q2 2025:</strong> 7.96% YoY</li>
        <li><strong>First Half 2025:</strong> 7.52%</li>
      </ul>
      <p><strong>Forecasts:</strong></p>
      <ul>
        <li>World Bank: 5.8%</li>
        <li>ADB: 6.6% (down from 6.3%)</li>
        <li>IMF: 5.2%</li>
        <li>Government Target: 8.3–8.5%</li>
      </ul>

      <h3>2. Inflation Rate</h3>
      <p><strong>2025 Trends:</strong></p>
      <ul>
        <li>May: 3.24%</li>
        <li>June: 3.57% (highest since start of year)</li>
      </ul>
      <p>Forecasts: IMF 2.9%, ADB 4.0%. Inflation remains within safe, manageable range.</p>

      <h3>3. Unemployment Rate</h3>
      <p>Q1 2025: 2.20%, down from 2.22% Q4 2024. Indicates stable labor market.</p>

      <h3>4. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)</h3>
      <p><strong>First 5 months:</strong> Registered Capital: $18.4B (+51% YoY), Disbursed: $8.9B</p>
      <p><strong>Half-year total:</strong> US$21.51B (+32.6%)</p>

      <h3>Visual Data</h3>
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      </div>
    </section>

    <section id="sectoral" data-nav="Sectoral Analysis">
      <h2>Sectoral Analysis</h2>
      <h3>Primary Growth Drivers</h3>
      <ul>
        <li>Services Sector: Major contributor</li>
        <li>Manufacturing Sector: Recovering and developing</li>
        <li>Export Industries: Backbone of the economy</li>
        <li>Banking Sector: Projected 17% earnings growth in 2025</li>
      </ul>
      <h3>Retail Performance</h3>
      <p>Q1 2025 retail sales: 1.708 quadrillion VND (US$66.83B), +9.9% YoY.</p>

      <h3>Data Table</h3>
      <table id="retail-table">
        <thead>
          <tr>
            <th>Quarter</th>
            <th>Retail Sales (VND)</th>
            <th>YoY Growth</th>
          </tr>
        </thead>
        <tbody>
          <tr>
            <td>Q1 2025</td>
            <td>1.708 quadrillion</td>
            <td>9.9%</td>
          </tr>
        </tbody>
      </table>
    </section>

    <section id="challenges" data-nav="Challenges & Risks">
      <h2>Challenges and Risk Factors</h2>
      <ul>
        <li>Global Trade Tensions impact exports</li>
        <li>US Tariff Policies pressure exporters</li>
        <li>Geopolitical Instability => increased business uncertainty</li>
        <li>Overdependence on FDI => risks of inflation & overreliance</li>
        <li>Need for macroeconomic stability, avoiding public debt surges</li>
      </ul>
    </section>

    <section id="history" data-nav="Historical Comparison">
      <h2>Historical Comparison</h2>
      <p>GDP growth rates (YoY) from 2020 to 2025:</p>
      <ul>
        <li>2020: 3.21%</li>
        <li>2021: 4.85%</li>
        <li>2022: 5.42%</li>
        <li>2023: 3.46%</li>
        <li>2024: 7.1%</li>
        <li>2025 forecast: ~7.52%</li>
      </ul>
    </section>

    <section id="outlook" data-nav="Economic Outlook">
      <h2>Economic Outlook & Projections</h2>
      <p>Vietnam’s economy started strong in 2025 with 6.9% Q1 growth, but faces global uncertainty ahead. The target is 8.3–8.5%, though challenges exist. Fundamental supports include:</p>
      <ul>
        <li>Robust FDI inflows</li>
        <li>Low unemployment</li>
        <li>Controlled inflation</li>
        <li>Export competitiveness</li>
        <li>Parliamentary support raising growth targets</li>
      </ul>
      <h3>Risk Mitigation</h3>
      <p>The government aims to diversify markets, boost domestic demand, and strengthen resilience to global shocks through fiscal and policy measures.</p>
    </section>

    <section id="sources" data-nav="Sources & Citations">
      <h2>Sources and Citations</h2>
      <ul>
        <li><a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/gdp-growth-annual" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trading Economics - Vietnam GDP</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/VNM" target="_blank" rel="noopener">IMF - Vietnam Profile</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://www.worldeconomics.com/GDP/Vietnam.gdp" target="_blank" rel="noopener">World Economics - Vietnam GDP</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://www.gso.gov.vn/en/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">General Statistics Office Vietnam</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Vietnam" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Wikipedia - Economy of Vietnam</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/VNM" target="_blank" rel="noopener">IMF Vietnam & the IMF</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://www.focus-economics.com/countries/vietnam" target="_blank" rel="noopener">FocusEconomics</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://www.gso.gov.vn/en/data-and-statistics/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">GSO Data & Statistics</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://vietnamnet.vn/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">VietnamNet - Economic News</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vietnam Briefing</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://vir.com.vn/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vietnam Investment Review</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/foreign-direct-investment" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trading Economics - FDI</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://www.whitecase.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">White & Case - Outlook</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://vneconomictimes.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vietnam Economic Times</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://www.adb.org/countries/viet-nam/main" target="_blank" rel="noopener">ADB Vietnam</a></li>
        <li><a href="https://www.mpi.gov.vn/en/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ministry of Planning & Investment</a></li>
      </ul>
    </section>
  </main>
</div>
<footer>
  &copy; 2025 Vietnam Economic Data & Analysis | Sources cited accordingly.
</footer>

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