Spaces:
Running
Running
File size: 41,625 Bytes
b43c43c |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556 557 558 559 560 561 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 569 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 601 602 603 604 605 606 607 608 609 610 611 612 613 614 615 616 617 618 619 620 621 622 623 624 625 626 627 628 629 630 631 632 633 634 635 636 637 638 639 640 641 642 643 644 645 646 647 648 649 650 651 652 653 654 655 656 657 658 659 660 661 662 663 664 665 666 667 668 669 670 671 672 673 674 675 676 677 678 679 680 681 682 683 684 685 686 687 688 689 690 691 692 693 694 695 696 697 698 699 700 701 702 703 704 705 706 707 708 709 710 711 712 713 714 715 716 717 718 719 720 721 722 723 724 725 726 727 728 729 730 731 732 733 734 735 736 737 738 739 740 741 742 743 744 745 746 747 748 749 750 751 752 753 754 755 756 757 758 759 760 761 762 763 764 765 766 767 768 769 770 771 772 773 774 775 776 777 778 779 780 781 782 783 784 785 786 787 788 789 790 791 792 793 794 795 796 797 798 799 800 801 802 803 804 805 806 807 808 809 810 811 812 813 814 815 816 817 818 819 820 821 822 823 824 825 826 827 828 829 830 831 832 833 834 835 836 837 838 839 840 841 842 843 844 845 846 847 848 849 850 851 852 853 854 855 856 857 858 859 860 861 862 863 864 865 866 867 868 869 870 871 872 873 874 875 876 877 878 879 880 881 882 883 884 885 886 887 888 889 890 891 892 893 894 895 896 897 898 899 900 901 902 903 904 905 906 907 908 909 910 911 912 913 914 915 916 917 918 919 920 921 922 923 924 925 926 927 928 929 930 931 932 933 934 935 936 937 938 939 940 941 942 943 944 945 946 947 948 949 950 951 952 953 954 955 956 957 958 959 960 961 962 963 964 965 966 967 968 969 970 971 972 973 974 975 976 977 978 979 980 981 982 983 984 985 986 987 988 989 990 991 992 993 994 995 996 997 998 999 1000 1001 1002 1003 1004 1005 1006 1007 1008 1009 1010 1011 1012 1013 1014 1015 1016 1017 1018 1019 1020 1021 1022 1023 1024 1025 1026 1027 1028 1029 1030 1031 1032 1033 1034 1035 1036 1037 1038 1039 1040 1041 1042 1043 1044 1045 1046 1047 1048 1049 1050 1051 1052 1053 1054 1055 1056 1057 1058 1059 1060 1061 1062 1063 1064 1065 1066 1067 1068 1069 1070 1071 1072 1073 1074 1075 1076 1077 1078 1079 1080 1081 1082 1083 1084 1085 1086 1087 1088 1089 1090 1091 1092 1093 1094 1095 1096 1097 1098 1099 1100 1101 1102 1103 1104 1105 1106 1107 1108 1109 1110 1111 1112 1113 1114 1115 1116 1117 1118 1119 1120 1121 1122 |
<!DOCTYPE html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="UTF-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
<title>Vietnam Economic Growth Report 2025</title>
<link rel="stylesheet" href="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/font-awesome/7.0.0/css/all.min.css">
<style>
:root {
--primary: #06705c;
--secondary: #34b88b;
--accent: #fedb41;
--danger: #dc3545;
--bg: #f9fafb;
--card-bg: #fff;
--text-main: #232931;
--text-muted: #8993a4;
--border: #e2e8f0;
--shadow: 0 2px 12px rgba(6,112,92,0.06);
--radius: 1.25rem;
--toc-width: 340px;
--toc-width-m: 80vw;
--header-h: 64px;
--font-main: 'Inter', 'Segoe UI', Arial, sans-serif;
--font-mono: 'Menlo', 'Consolas', monospace;
}
html { scroll-behavior: smooth }
body {
margin: 0;
font-family: var(--font-main);
font-size: clamp(1rem, 2vw, 1.17rem);
background: var(--bg);
color: var(--text-main);
}
header {
background: var(--primary);
color: #fff;
position: sticky;
top: 0; left: 0; z-index: 20;
box-shadow: 0 2px 12px rgba(6,112,92,0.04);
display: flex;
align-items: center;
height: var(--header-h);
padding: 0 clamp(1.3rem, 4vw, 3.8rem);
gap: 1.2rem;
}
header .logo {
font-size: 1.7rem;
font-weight: 800;
letter-spacing: 0.03em;
}
header .report-subtitle {
color: var(--accent);
font-size: 1rem;
font-weight: 400;
margin-left: .3rem;
opacity: .85;
letter-spacing: 0.01em;
}
header .search-wrap {
flex: 1 1 auto;
display: flex;
align-items: center;
justify-content: flex-end;
max-width: 420px;
}
.search-box {
width: 100%;
max-width: 280px;
position: relative;
}
.search-box input {
width: 100%;
padding: 0.5rem 2.1rem 0.5rem 1rem;
border-radius: 100px;
border: none;
background: #fff;
color: var(--text-main);
font-size: 1rem;
box-shadow: 0 1px 8px rgba(0,0,0,0.04);
outline: none;
transition: background .2s;
}
.search-box .fa-search {
position: absolute; right: .7rem; top: 50%; transform: translateY(-50%);
color: var(--text-muted);
font-size: 1rem;
pointer-events: none;
}
main {
max-width: 1100px;
margin: clamp(1.2rem, 3vw, 3.6rem) auto;
display: flex;
gap: 2.2rem;
}
nav#toc {
position: sticky;
top: calc(var(--header-h) + 1.5rem);
align-self: flex-start;
width: var(--toc-width);
background: var(--card-bg);
border-radius: var(--radius);
box-shadow: var(--shadow);
padding: 1.4rem 1.2rem 1.8rem;
margin-bottom: 2rem;
z-index: 5;
max-height: calc(100vh - var(--header-h) - 2rem);
overflow-y: auto;
font-size: 1rem;
transition: width .3s;
}
nav#toc h2 {
font-size: 1.09rem;
margin: 0 0 .9em .1em;
color: var(--primary);
font-weight: 600;
letter-spacing: 0.01em;
}
nav#toc ul {
list-style: none;
margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 .2em;
}
nav#toc ul li {
margin: .2em 0;
}
nav#toc ul li a {
text-decoration: none;
color: var(--text-main);
transition: color .18s;
padding: .13em .18em;
border-radius: 5px;
display: inline-block;
}
nav#toc ul ul {
margin-left: 1.3em;
border-left: 2px solid #f2f6f5;
padding-left: .5em;
}
nav#toc ul li a.active,
nav#toc ul li a:focus-visible {
background: var(--secondary);
color: var(--accent);
font-weight: 600;
}
@media (max-width: 1024px) {
main { flex-direction: column; }
nav#toc {
width: var(--toc-width-m);
max-width: 95vw;
margin: 0 auto 2rem auto;
position: static;
box-shadow: 0 3px 18px #06705c10;
}
}
@media (max-width: 768px) {
main { padding: 0 0.6rem; }
nav#toc {
width: 100%;
max-width: 100vw;
padding: 1.1rem 0.6rem 1.5rem;
font-size: 0.97rem;
}
}
section, .card-section {
background: var(--card-bg);
border-radius: var(--radius);
box-shadow: var(--shadow);
padding: clamp(1.2rem, 2vw, 2.5rem);
margin-bottom: 2.5rem;
min-width: 0;
}
section h2, .card-section h2 { margin-top: 0; font-weight: 700; color: var(--primary);}
section h3 { color: var(--secondary); font-weight: 600; margin-top: 2em; }
section h4 { color: var(--primary); font-weight: 600; }
section summary, .card-section summary {
font-size: 1.07rem;
font-weight: 600;
cursor: pointer;
color: var(--primary);
background: #ededf7;
border-radius: .5em;
padding: .4em .8em;
margin-bottom: .7em;
}
section details > summary::-webkit-details-marker {
display: none;
}
.data-charts {
display: grid;
grid-template-columns: 1fr 1fr;
gap: 2.2rem 2.8rem;
margin-top: 0.5em;
margin-bottom: 1em;
}
.charts-flex {
display: flex;
gap: 2.5rem;
flex-wrap: wrap;
margin-bottom: 1em
}
.chart-card {
background: var(--bg);
border-radius: 1rem;
box-shadow: 0 2px 8px #06705c0e;
padding: 1.3rem 1.3rem 1rem;
max-width: 100%;
flex: 1 1 310px;
min-width: 270px;
}
.chart-title {
font-size: 1rem;
color: var(--primary);
font-weight: 500;
margin-bottom: .6em;
letter-spacing: 0.01em;
display: flex; align-items: center; gap: .5em;
}
@container chart-card (max-width: 350px) {
.chart-card { padding: .8rem; }
.chart-title { font-size: .94rem }
}
.stats-grid {
display: grid;
grid-template-columns: repeat(auto-fit, minmax(185px, 1fr));
gap: .8rem 1.7rem;
margin: 1.5em 0 2.5em 0;
}
.stat-block {
background: #e6f5f1;
border-radius: 1em;
padding: .93em 1.1em;
text-align: center;
font-size: 1.04rem;
color: var(--primary);
font-weight: 500;
min-width: 0;
}
.stat-value {
display: block;
font-weight: bold;
font-size: 1.25em;
color: var(--secondary);
margin-bottom: .27em;
letter-spacing: 0.01em;
}
.stat-label {
color: var(--text-muted);
font-size: .99em;
font-weight: 500;
}
.findings-table-wrap {
width: 100%;
overflow-x: auto;
margin: 1.2em 0 1.6em 0;
}
table.research-table {
width: 100%;
border-collapse: collapse;
background: #fbfbfe;
border-radius: .9em;
overflow: hidden;
box-shadow: 0 2px 8px #06705c15;
font-size: 1em;
}
table.research-table th, table.research-table td {
padding: .6em .8em;
text-align: left;
border-bottom: 1px solid #f1f7f5;
}
table.research-table th {
background: #e6f5f1;
color: var(--primary);
cursor: pointer;
font-weight: 600;
position: relative;
overflow: visible;
user-select: none;
}
table.research-table th.sorted-asc:after,
table.research-table th.sorted-desc:after {
content: '';
border: solid var(--primary);
border-width: 0 2px 2px 0;
display: inline-block;
padding: 2px;
margin-left: .38em;
transform: rotate(-135deg);
}
table.research-table th.sorted-desc:after {
transform: rotate(45deg);
margin-top: .1em;
}
table.research-table tr:last-child td { border: none; }
table.research-table tbody tr:hover { background: #f9fdfb; }
.filter-controls {
display: flex;
gap: 1.2em;
align-items: center;
margin-bottom: 1em;
margin-top: .7em;
flex-wrap: wrap;
}
.filter-chip {
background: #f1f5f9;
color: var(--primary);
padding: .33em .85em;
border-radius: 100px;
font-weight: 500;
cursor: pointer;
transition: background .14s;
border: 1px solid #e1ede8;
margin-right: .3em;
user-select: none;
}
.filter-chip.selected, .filter-chip.active {
background: var(--secondary);
color: #fff;
border-color: var(--secondary);
}
details {
margin-top: 1.3em;
margin-bottom: .1em;
}
.progress-track {
width: 100%; background: #e6f5f1; border-radius: 6px; height: 8px;
margin-top: 1.0em; margin-bottom: 1.2em;
position: relative;
overflow: hidden;
}
.progress-bar {
background: var(--secondary);
height: 100%;
border-radius: 6px;
width: 0; min-width: 8%;
transition: width 1.2s cubic-bezier(.27, .86, .44, 1.22);
}
.export-actions {
margin: 1.25em 0 .9em auto;
display: flex;
align-items: center;
gap: 1em;
justify-content: flex-end;
}
.export-actions button {
background: var(--secondary);
color: #fff;
border: none;
border-radius: 7px;
font-size: .97em;
font-family: inherit;
font-weight: 500;
padding: 0.5em 1.15em;
margin: 0;
transition: background .18s;
cursor: pointer;
display: flex;
align-items: center;
gap: .45em;
}
.export-actions button:hover {
background: var(--primary);
}
.clipboard-status {
color: var(--primary);
font-size: .98em;
background: #edeffb;
border-radius: 7px;
padding: .25em .7em;
margin-left: .8em;
animation: fadeinout 2.1s linear 1;
opacity: 1;
display: inline-block;
vertical-align: middle;
}
@keyframes fadeinout {
from { opacity: 0; }
10%,80% { opacity: 1; }
to { opacity: 0; }
}
/* Typography & links */
h1 {
font-size: clamp(1.8rem, 4vw, 2.3rem);
color: var(--primary);
font-weight: 800;
margin-bottom: .25em;
line-height: 1.18;
letter-spacing: -0.01em;
}
h2 { font-size: clamp(1.2rem,2vw,1.45rem)}
h3 { font-size: clamp(1.09rem,1.4vw,1.13rem)}
h4 { font-size: clamp(0.99rem,1vw,1.05rem)}
p, ul, ol { line-height: 1.8; font-size: 1em }
ul, ol { padding-left: 1.7em; }
a { color: var(--primary); transition: color .2s }
a:hover { color: var(--secondary); }
.highlight {
background: var(--accent);
color: #052e26;
padding: .13em .32em;
border-radius: .35em;
font-size: .98em;
font-weight: 500;
margin: 0 .13em;
}
blockquote {
border-left: 4px solid var(--secondary);
background: #e6f5f1;
color: var(--primary);
font-size: 1.05em;
padding: .9em 1.6em .9em 1em;
margin: 1.5em 0;
border-radius: .9em;
font-style: italic;
}
/* Citation list */
.sources-list {
font-size: .96em;
color: var(--text-muted);
background: #f1f7f8;
border-radius: .9em;
padding: 1.3em 1em 1.3em 1.45em;
margin: 1em 0;
border-left: 6px solid var(--secondary);
}
.sources-list ol {
margin: 0;
padding-left: 1.8em;
}
.sources-list li {
margin-bottom: .57em;
line-height: 1.6;
}
/* Utilities */
.sr-only {
position: absolute;
left: -9000px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;
}
.mb-0 { margin-bottom: 0 !important }
/* Responsive @ 768 and below */
@media (max-width: 768px) {
header, main {
padding-left: .5em; padding-right: .5em;
}
section, .card-section {
padding: 1em .7em;
}
.data-charts { grid-template-columns: 1fr; gap: 2rem }
.charts-flex { flex-direction: column; gap: 1.2rem }
}
@media (max-width: 500px) {
h1 { font-size: 1.25rem }
nav#toc { font-size: .95rem; padding:.7rem }
}
</style>
</head>
<body>
<header>
<span class="logo" aria-label="Vietnam Economic Growth Report 2025">
<i class="fa-sharp fa-solid fa-chart-line"></i>
Vietnam 2025
</span>
<span class="report-subtitle">Economic Growth Report</span>
<div class="search-wrap">
<form class="search-box" id="site-search" autocomplete="off">
<input type="search" placeholder="Search the report…" id="searchInput" aria-label="Search" />
<i class="fas fa-search"></i>
</form>
</div>
</header>
<main>
<!-- Table of Contents -->
<nav id="toc" aria-label="Table of Contents">
<h2><i class="fa-regular fa-list-alt"></i> Table of Contents</h2>
<ul>
<li><a href="#executive-summary">Executive Summary</a></li>
<li>
<a href="#key-economic-indicators">Key Economic Indicators</a>
<ul>
<li><a href="#gdp-growth-performance">GDP Growth Performance</a></li>
<li><a href="#inflation-rate">Inflation Rate</a></li>
<li><a href="#unemployment-rate">Unemployment Rate</a></li>
<li><a href="#foreign-direct-investment">Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)</a></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<a href="#sectoral-analysis">Sectoral Analysis</a>
</li>
<li>
<a href="#challenges-risk-factors">Challenges & Risk Factors</a>
</li>
<li>
<a href="#historical-comparison">Historical Comparison</a>
</li>
<li>
<a href="#economic-outlook-projections">Economic Outlook & Projections</a>
</li>
<li>
<a href="#conclusion">Conclusion</a>
</li>
<li>
<a href="#sources-citations">Sources & Citations</a>
</li>
</ul>
</nav>
<!-- Report content -->
<section>
<h1 id="executive-summary">
Executive Summary
</h1>
<div class="progress-track" title="2025 GDP H1 Progress Toward Target">
<div class="progress-bar" id="gdp-progress"></div>
</div>
<p>
Vietnam's economy continues to demonstrate robust growth momentum in 2025, with GDP expanding <span class="highlight">7.96%</span> in Q2 2025 compared to the same period last year. H1 2025 saw GDP growth of <span class="highlight">7.52%</span>—the strongest first-half showing since 2011—led by <span class="highlight">industry</span> and <span class="highlight">services</span>. Vietnam sustained high growth despite <b>global trade tensions</b> and new <b>US tariffs</b>, confirming its position as a resilient, dynamic economy in Southeast Asia.
</p>
</section>
<section id="key-economic-indicators">
<h2>
Key Economic Indicators 2025
</h2>
<div class="stats-grid">
<div class="stat-block">
<span class="stat-value">7.96%</span>
<span class="stat-label">Q2 GDP YoY Growth</span>
</div>
<div class="stat-block">
<span class="stat-value">7.52%</span>
<span class="stat-label">H1 2025 GDP Growth</span>
</div>
<div class="stat-block">
<span class="stat-value">3.57%</span>
<span class="stat-label">June 2025 Inflation</span>
</div>
<div class="stat-block">
<span class="stat-value">2.20%</span>
<span class="stat-label">Q1 2025 Unemployment</span>
</div>
<div class="stat-block">
<span class="stat-value">$21.5B</span>
<span class="stat-label">H1 2025 FDI</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="data-charts" id="key-indicators-charts" style="margin-bottom:1.2rem;">
<div class="chart-card">
<div class="chart-title">
<i class="fa-solid fa-chart-line"></i> GDP Growth Q1–Q2 2025
</div>
<canvas id="gdpGrowthChart" width="360" height="170" aria-label="GDP Growth 2025"></canvas>
<div class="chart-caption" style="font-size:.95em; color:var(--text-muted);margin-top:.4em;">
GDP growth rates by quarter in 2025. <span style="color:var(--secondary)">Government target: 8.3–8.5%</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="chart-card">
<div class="chart-title">
<i class="fa-solid fa-chart-bar"></i> 2025 GDP Forecasts
</div>
<canvas id="gdpForecastChart" width="360" height="170" aria-label="GDP Forecasts"></canvas>
<div class="chart-caption" style="font-size:.94em; color:var(--text-muted)">
Diverse projections from major institutions and official targets.
</div>
</div>
</div>
<details open>
<summary id="gdp-growth-performance">GDP Growth Performance</summary>
<ul>
<li><strong>Q1 2025:</strong> <span class="highlight">6.9%</span> year-on-year growth</li>
<li><strong>Q2 2025:</strong> <span class="highlight">7.96%</span> year-on-year growth</li>
<li><strong>H1 2025:</strong> <span class="highlight">7.52%</span> (highest H1 since 2011)</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>World Bank 2025 forecast:</strong> <span class="highlight">5.8%</span></li>
<li><strong>ADB 2025 forecast:</strong> <span class="highlight">6.6%</span> (up from 6.3%)</li>
<li><strong>IMF 2025 forecast:</strong> <span class="highlight">5.2%</span></li>
<li><strong>Government target:</strong> <span class="highlight">8.3–8.5%</span></li>
</ul>
</details>
<details>
<summary id="inflation-rate">Inflation Rate</summary>
<ul>
<li><strong>May 2025:</strong> <span class="highlight">3.24%</span></li>
<li><strong>June 2025:</strong> <span class="highlight">3.57%</span> (highest YTD)</li>
<li><strong>IMF 2025 forecast:</strong> <span class="highlight">2.9%</span></li>
<li><strong>ADB 2025 forecast:</strong> <span class="highlight">4.0%</span></li>
</ul>
<p>
Inflation remains well-controlled within the 3-4.5% target range, minimizing risks to real incomes and domestic demand.
</p>
</details>
<details>
<summary id="unemployment-rate">Unemployment Rate</summary>
<ul>
<li><strong>Q1 2025:</strong> <span class="highlight">2.20%</span> (down from 2.22% in Q4 2024)</li>
</ul>
<p>
Unemployment is at historic lows, reflecting a resilient labor market and strong consumption fundamentals.
</p>
</details>
<details>
<summary id="foreign-direct-investment">Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)</summary>
<ul>
<li><strong>First 5 months 2025 registered capital:</strong> <span class="highlight">$18.4B</span> (up 51% YoY)</li>
<li><strong>First 5 months 2025 disbursed capital:</strong> <span class="highlight">$8.9B</span></li>
<li><strong>First half 2025 FDI:</strong> <span class="highlight">$21.51B</span> (up 32.6% YoY)</li>
</ul>
<p>
Surging FDI signals continued international confidence in Vietnam's policy framework, market opportunity, and supply chain resilience.
</p>
</details>
</section>
<section id="sectoral-analysis">
<h2>Sectoral Analysis</h2>
<div class="charts-flex">
<div class="chart-card">
<div class="chart-title"><i class="fa-solid fa-chart-pie"></i> Sector Contributions (H1 2025)</div>
<canvas id="sectorPieChart" width="320" height="180" aria-label="Sector Contributions"></canvas>
</div>
<div class="chart-card" style="max-width:420px">
<div class="chart-title"><i class="fa-solid fa-basket-shopping"></i> Retail Sales Growth</div>
<canvas id="retailBarChart" width="320" height="180" aria-label="Retail Sales"></canvas>
</div>
</div>
<ul>
<li><b>Services sector</b>: Largest contributor to GDP growth</li>
<li><b>Manufacturing sector</b>: Maintains a positive trajectory</li>
<li><b>Export industries</b>: Remain the backbone of economic expansion</li>
<li>
<b>Banking sector</b>: Projected to see a <span class="highlight">17%</span> increase in earnings driven by <span class="highlight">15%</span> credit growth
</li>
</ul>
<blockquote>
Retail sales in Q1 2025: <b>1.708 quadrillion VND</b> (~<span class="highlight">$66.83 billion</span>), a <span class="highlight">9.9%</span> YoY increase.
</blockquote>
</section>
<section id="challenges-risk-factors">
<h2>Challenges and Risk Factors</h2>
<div class="findings-table-wrap">
<table class="research-table" id="challenges-table">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Risk Factor</th>
<th>Implication</th>
<th>Relevance 2025</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Global Trade Tensions</td>
<td>Disrupt export momentum, limit overseas demand</td>
<td>High</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Tariff Policies</td>
<td>Pressure export-oriented businesses</td>
<td>High</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Geopolitical Instability</td>
<td>Increase business uncertainty, risk premiums</td>
<td>Medium</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>FDI Overdependence</td>
<td>Potential for inflation; vulnerability to capital flow shifts</td>
<td>Medium</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Macroeconomic Stability</td>
<td>Rising public debt, inflation risk</td>
<td>Medium</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<p>
Policymakers must balance <b>ambitious growth</b> targets with prudent oversight of capital flows, currency, and fiscal policy to ensure continued resilience.
</p>
</section>
<section id="historical-comparison">
<h2>Historical Comparison</h2>
<div class="charts-flex">
<div class="chart-card" style="flex:1 1 340px;min-width:220px;">
<div class="chart-title"><i class="fa-solid fa-timeline"></i> GDP Growth Q1 YoY (2020–2025)</div>
<canvas id="histGdpChart" width="320" height="180" aria-label="Historical GDP Growth"></canvas>
</div>
<div style="flex:2 1 380px;">
<ul>
<li><b>2024:</b> GDP grew <span class="highlight">7.1%</span></li>
<li><b>2025 (forecast):</b> Growth may moderate amid external headwinds</li>
<li><b>Long-term:</b> Vietnam’s fundamentals remain <span class="highlight">resilient</span> despite short-term volatility</li>
</ul>
<blockquote>
Year-on-year GDP Q1 growth rates (2020–2025): <span class="highlight">3.21%</span>, <span class="highlight">4.85%</span>, <span class="highlight">5.42%</span>, <span class="highlight">3.46%</span>, <span class="highlight">5.98%</span>, <span class="highlight">6.93%</span>
</blockquote>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<section id="economic-outlook-projections">
<h2>Economic Outlook and Projections</h2>
<details open>
<summary>Near-term Prospects (2025)</summary>
<p>
The economy started 2025 strongly, delivering <span class="highlight">6.9%</span> YoY GDP growth in Q1.
However, the landscape is more challenging due to external headwinds. The government’s ambitious growth
target (<span class="highlight">8.3–8.5%</span>) contrasts with more modest global forecasts, but robust
FDI, low unemployment, and resilient demand support continued solid performance.
</p>
</details>
<details>
<summary>Key Supporting Factors</summary>
<ul>
<li><strong>Robust FDI inflows</strong></li>
<li><strong>Low unemployment</strong> sustains domestic consumption</li>
<li><strong>Controlled inflation</strong> protects real incomes</li>
<li><strong>Export competitiveness</strong> despite trade challenges</li>
<li><strong>Parliamentary Support</strong>: Growth target raised from 6.5% to "at least 8%"</li>
</ul>
</details>
<details>
<summary>Risk Mitigation Strategies</summary>
<ul>
<li>Diversify export markets</li>
<li>Strengthen domestic demand</li>
<li>Bolster economic resilience</li>
<li>Maintain macroeconomic stability</li>
<li>Provide space for fiscal policy to offset global shocks</li>
</ul>
</details>
</section>
<section id="conclusion">
<h2>Conclusion</h2>
<p>
Vietnam's 2025 economic performance highlights the nation's resilience and growth prospects. While facing ongoing
<span class="highlight">global challenges</span>, the economy benefits from strong fundamentals: <b>low unemployment</b>, <b>controlled inflation</b>, and <b>surging FDI</b>.
The divergence between official and international forecasts underlines a cautiously optimistic outlook. Ambitious
GDP targets rely on continued FDI confidence. The government's determination sets the stage for higher growth
in subsequent years.
</p>
</section>
<section id="sources-citations">
<h2>Sources and Citations</h2>
<div class="export-actions">
<button id="btn-copy-sources"><i class="fa-solid fa-copy"></i> Copy Citations</button>
<button id="btn-export-pdf"><i class="fa-solid fa-file-pdf"></i> Export to PDF</button>
</div>
<div class="sources-list" id="citations-list">
<ol>
<li>Trading Economics - Vietnam GDP Annual Growth Rate <a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/gdp-growth-annual" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>IMF - Vietnam Country Profile <a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/VNM" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>World Economics - Vietnam GDP Estimates <a href="https://www.worldeconomics.com/GDP/Vietnam.gdp" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>General Statistics Office <a href="https://www.gso.gov.vn/en/" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>Wikipedia - Economy of Vietnam <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Vietnam" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>IMF - Vietnam and the IMF <a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/VNM" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>FocusEconomics - Vietnam Economic Indicators <a href="https://www.focus-economics.com/countries/vietnam" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>National Statistics Office of Vietnam <a href="https://www.gso.gov.vn/en/data-and-statistics/" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>VietnamNet - Economic News <a href="https://vietnamnet.vn/" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>IMF - Article IV Mission Reports <a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>Vietnam Briefing <a href="https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>Vietnam Investment Review <a href="https://vir.com.vn/" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>Trading Economics - Vietnam Foreign Direct Investment <a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/foreign-direct-investment" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>White & Case - Regional Economic Outlook <a href="https://www.whitecase.com/" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>Vietnam Economic Times <a href="https://vneconomictimes.com/" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>ADB - Vietnam Country Partnership <a href="https://www.adb.org/countries/viet-nam/main" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
<li>Ministry of Planning and Investment <a href="https://www.mpi.gov.vn/en/" target="_blank">[Link]</a></li>
</ol>
</div>
</section>
</main>
<script>
// Table of Contents - highlight on scroll, smooth scroll
(function tocScrollHighlight() {
const tocLinks = Array.from(document.querySelectorAll('#toc a'));
const headings = tocLinks.map(l => {
try { return document.querySelector(decodeURIComponent(l.hash)) } catch { return null }
});
let activeIdx = -1;
function onScroll() {
let found = -1;
for (let i=0; i<headings.length; ++i) {
const el = headings[i];
if (!el) continue;
const rect = el.getBoundingClientRect();
if (rect.top < window.innerHeight * 0.18) found = i;
}
if (found >= 0 && found !== activeIdx) {
tocLinks.forEach(l=>l.classList.remove('active'));
tocLinks[found].classList.add('active');
activeIdx = found;
}
}
onScroll();
window.addEventListener('scroll', onScroll, {passive:true});
// Smooth scroll
tocLinks.forEach(link => {
link.addEventListener('click', e => {
const target = document.querySelector(decodeURIComponent(link.hash));
if (target) {
e.preventDefault();
target.scrollIntoView({behavior:"smooth",block:"start"});
setTimeout(()=>link.focus(), 800);
}
})
})
})();
// Progress bar: GDP H1 vs Target (between 7.52% and target 8.5%)
(function gdpProgress(){
const val = 7.52, target = 8.5, min = 0, w = Math.max(Math.min((val-min)/(target-min)*100, 100), 2);
document.getElementById('gdp-progress').style.width = w+'%';
})();
// Charts: Use canvas API for simple bar/line/pie charts (no frameworks)
// Helper: drawBarChart, drawLineChart, drawPieChart
function drawBarChart(ctx, {labels, values, colors, yMax, grid=true, units="%"}){
const w = ctx.canvas.width, h = ctx.canvas.height;
ctx.clearRect(0,0,w,h);
const m = {l:40, r:14, t:16, b:36};
const chartW = w-m.l-m.r, chartH = h-m.t-m.b;
const N = values.length;
yMax = yMax || Math.max(...values, 1);
if (grid) for (let k=0;k<=5;++k) {
let y = m.t + chartH*k/5;
ctx.strokeStyle="#e6f5f1"; ctx.lineWidth=1; ctx.beginPath();
ctx.moveTo(m.l, y); ctx.lineTo(w-m.r, y); ctx.stroke();
ctx.font="10px Inter"; ctx.fillStyle="#b8cbc3";
ctx.textAlign="right"; ctx.textBaseline="middle";
ctx.fillText((yMax*(1-k/5)).toFixed(1)+units, m.l-4, y);
}
for(let i=0; i<N; ++i){
let x = m.l + chartW/N*i + chartW/(2*N), barW = chartW/(N*1.5);
let barH = values[i]/yMax*chartH;
ctx.save();
ctx.beginPath();
ctx.fillStyle = colors[i%colors.length] || "#07ac9b";
ctx.shadowColor="#06a08622"; ctx.shadowBlur=6;
ctx.roundRect(x-barW/2, m.t+chartH-barH, barW, barH, 6);
ctx.fill(); ctx.restore();
ctx.font="11px Inter"; ctx.textAlign="center"; ctx.fillStyle="#2b3d33";
ctx.fillText(labels[i], x, h-m.b+13);
ctx.font="bold 12px Inter"; ctx.fillStyle=colors[i%colors.length];
ctx.fillText(values[i].toFixed(2)+units, x, m.t+chartH-barH-10);
}
}
function drawLineChart(ctx, {labels, values, color="#06705c", dots=true, fill='#e6f5f1', yMax, units="%"}) {
const w = ctx.canvas.width, h = ctx.canvas.height;
ctx.clearRect(0,0,w,h);
const m = {l:42, r:20, t:22, b:36};
const chartW = w-m.l-m.r, chartH = h-m.t-m.b;
const N = values.length;
yMax = yMax || Math.max(...values, 1) * 1.15;
// grid lines
for (let k=0;k<=5;++k) {
let y = m.t + chartH*k/5;
ctx.strokeStyle="#e6f5f1"; ctx.lineWidth=1; ctx.beginPath();
ctx.moveTo(m.l, y); ctx.lineTo(w-m.r, y); ctx.stroke();
ctx.font="10px Inter"; ctx.fillStyle="#b8cbc3";
ctx.textAlign="right"; ctx.textBaseline="middle";
ctx.fillText((yMax*(1-k/5)).toFixed(1)+units, m.l-5, y);
}
// Line
ctx.save();
ctx.beginPath();
for(let i=0; i<N; ++i) {
let x = m.l + chartW/(N-1)*i, y = m.t+chartH - chartH*values[i]/yMax;
if (i===0) ctx.moveTo(x,y); else ctx.lineTo(x,y);
}
ctx.strokeStyle=color; ctx.lineWidth=2.6; ctx.shadowColor=color+'33'; ctx.shadowBlur=2;
ctx.stroke();
// Fill under curve
if (fill) {
ctx.lineTo(m.l+chartW, m.t+chartH);
ctx.lineTo(m.l, m.t+chartH);
ctx.closePath();
ctx.globalAlpha=.17;
ctx.fillStyle=fill;
ctx.fill();
ctx.globalAlpha=1;
}
ctx.restore();
// Dots
if (dots) {
for(let i=0; i<N; ++i) {
let x = m.l + chartW/(N-1)*i, y = m.t+chartH - chartH*values[i]/yMax;
ctx.beginPath();
ctx.arc(x,y,5,0,2*Math.PI);
ctx.fillStyle=color; ctx.shadowColor=color+'11'; ctx.shadowBlur=2; ctx.fill(); ctx.shadowBlur=0;
ctx.font="bold 12px Inter";
ctx.fillStyle=color; ctx.textAlign="center"; ctx.textBaseline="bottom";
ctx.fillText(values[i].toFixed(2)+units, x, y-7);
}
}
// X labels
for(let i=0; i<N; ++i) {
let x = m.l + chartW/(N-1)*i;
ctx.font="11px Inter"; ctx.fillStyle="#2b3d33";
ctx.textAlign="center"; ctx.textBaseline="top";
ctx.fillText(labels[i], x, h-m.b+7);
}
}
function drawPieChart(ctx, {labels, values, colors}) {
ctx.clearRect(0,0,ctx.canvas.width,ctx.canvas.height);
const w=ctx.canvas.width, h=ctx.canvas.height;
const cx=w/2, cy=h/2.2, r= Math.min(w,h)/2.25;
const total = values.reduce((a,b)=>a+b,0);
let a0 = -Math.PI/2;
ctx.save();
for(let i=0; i<values.length; ++i){
const frac=values[i]/total, a1=a0+frac*2*Math.PI;
ctx.beginPath();
ctx.moveTo(cx,cy); ctx.arc(cx,cy,r,a0,a1,false); ctx.closePath();
ctx.fillStyle=colors[i%colors.length]; ctx.shadowColor=colors[i%colors.length]+'24'; ctx.shadowBlur=7;
ctx.fill(); ctx.shadowBlur=0;
// labels
const theta=(a0+a1)/2, lx=cx+Math.cos(theta)*r*0.65,ly=cy+Math.sin(theta)*r*0.65;
ctx.font="bold 13px Inter"; ctx.fillStyle=colors[i%colors.length];
ctx.textAlign="center"; ctx.textBaseline="middle";
ctx.fillText(labels[i], lx,ly);
a0=a1;
}
ctx.restore();
}
// Chart 1: GDP Growth 2025 Q1, Q2, H1 (Line)
drawLineChart(document.getElementById('gdpGrowthChart').getContext('2d'), {
labels: ['Q1','Q2','H1 Target'],
values: [6.9,7.96,8.5],
color: "#34b88b",
units: '%',
fill: "#bdfae5",
yMax: 9
});
// Chart 2: GDP Forecasts (Bar)
drawBarChart(document.getElementById('gdpForecastChart').getContext('2d'), {
labels: ['World Bank','ADB','IMF','Gov Target'],
values: [5.8,6.6,5.2,8.5],
colors: ['#39ad9e','#12847d','#198754','#fedb41'],
yMax: 9
});
// Sector Pie Chart
drawPieChart(document.getElementById('sectorPieChart').getContext('2d'),{
labels:['Services','Manufacturing','Exports','Banking'],
values:[44, 28, 19, 9],
colors:['#06705c','#2bc4a3','#fedb41','#bcc9cc']
});
// Retail Sales Bar
drawBarChart(document.getElementById('retailBarChart').getContext('2d'),{
labels:['Q1\'24','Q1\'25'],
values:[60.76,66.83],
colors:['#bcc9cc','#06705c'],
yMax: 70,
units:' B$'
});
// Historical GDP Growth
drawLineChart(document.getElementById('histGdpChart').getContext('2d'),{
labels: ['2020','2021','2022','2023','2024','2025'],
values: [3.21,4.85,5.42,3.46,5.98,6.93],
color: "#ffa638",
fill: "#fedb4187",
yMax: 8,
units:'%'
});
// Table sorting
(function sortableTables(){
document.querySelectorAll('table.research-table').forEach(table=>{
const ths = table.tHead?.rows[0]?.cells;
if (!ths) return;
for(let c=0;c<ths.length;++c){
ths[c].addEventListener('click',()=>{
const dir = (ths[c].classList.contains('sorted-asc')) ? -1 : 1;
Array.from(ths).forEach(th=>th.classList.remove('sorted-asc','sorted-desc'));
ths[c].classList.add(dir>0?'sorted-asc':'sorted-desc');
const rows = Array.from(table.tBodies[0].rows);
rows.sort((a,b)=>{
let vA=a.cells[c].textContent.trim().toLowerCase(),
vB=b.cells[c].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();
const numA=parseFloat(vA),numB=parseFloat(vB);
if(!isNaN(numA)&&!isNaN(numB)) return dir*(numA-numB);
if(vA<vB) return -1*dir; if(vA>vB) return 1*dir; return 0;
});
rows.forEach(row=>table.tBodies[0].appendChild(row));
});
}
});
})();
// Section collapsing/expanding - remember open state in localStorage
(function persistentDetails(){
document.querySelectorAll("section details, .card-section details").forEach(details=>{
let key='details-'+location.pathname+'-'+details.querySelector('summary')?.textContent.trim();
// Restore state
if(localStorage.getItem(key)!==null)
details.open=localStorage.getItem(key)==='1';
details.addEventListener('toggle',()=>localStorage.setItem(key,details.open?'1':'0'));
});
})();
// Clipboard copy for citations
(function citationsClipboard(){
const btn = document.getElementById('btn-copy-sources');
const div = document.getElementById('citations-list');
btn.addEventListener('click', async()=>{
const text = Array.from(div.querySelectorAll('ol>li')).map(li=>{
return "- "+li.textContent.replace(/\s*\[Link\]\s*/,'')+" "+li.querySelector('a')?.href;
}).join('\n');
try{
await navigator.clipboard.writeText(text);
showStatus(btn, "Citations copied!");
}catch(e){
showStatus(btn, "Could not copy.", true);
}
});
function showStatus(parent, msg, err){
let el = document.createElement('span');
el.className='clipboard-status';
if(err) el.style.color='var(--danger)';
el.textContent=msg;
parent.after(el);
setTimeout(()=>el.remove(),1600);
}
})();
// Export PDF: Use print() to offer PDF download
(function exportPdf(){
document.getElementById('btn-export-pdf').addEventListener('click', function(){
window.print();
});
})();
// Search functionality - highlight matches, scroll to section
(function siteSearch(){
const input = document.getElementById('searchInput');
let lastHl = [];
function clearHl() {
lastHl.forEach(span=>{ // Restore original text
let p=span.parentNode;
p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(span.textContent), span);
p.normalize();
}); lastHl=[];
}
function highlightWords(s) {
if(s.length<2) return clearHl();
clearHl();
const walker = document.createTreeWalker(document.querySelector('main'),NodeFilter.SHOW_TEXT,null);
const term = s.toLowerCase();
let foundOnce=false;
while(walker.nextNode()) {
let t = walker.currentNode;
if(!/\S/.test(t.data)||t.parentElement.closest('header,nav,#citations-list')) continue;
let idx = t.data.toLowerCase().indexOf(term);
if(idx >= 0) {
foundOnce=true;
const span=document.createElement('mark');
span.style.background="#fedb41";
span.style.color="#232931";
span.style.padding=".05em .16em";
span.style.fontWeight='600';
span.textContent=t.data.substr(idx,s.length);
let after = t.splitText(idx);
after.splitText(s.length);
after.parentNode.replaceChild(span, after);
lastHl.push(span);
}
}
if(foundOnce && lastHl[0]) lastHl[0].scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth',block:'center'});
}
input.addEventListener('input', e=> highlightWords(e.target.value));
document.getElementById('site-search').addEventListener('submit', e=>{e.preventDefault()});
})();
// IntersectionObserver: Fade-in effect for sections on scroll-in
(function fadeInSections(){
if(!('IntersectionObserver' in window)) return;
const observer = new IntersectionObserver(entries=>{
entries.forEach(entry=>{
if(entry.isIntersecting){
entry.target.style.transition="opacity 1.2s cubic-bezier(.3,.6,.13,1)";
entry.target.style.opacity=1;
observer.unobserve(entry.target);
}
});
},{threshold:.18});
document.querySelectorAll('main > section').forEach(sec=>{
sec.style.opacity=0;
observer.observe(sec);
});
})();
// Filter for table example (future extension)
// (Currently not needed)
// Accessibility: Set ARIA for details
document.querySelectorAll('details').forEach(d=>{
const s = d.querySelector('summary');
if(s) {
s.setAttribute("aria-expanded",d.open ? "true" : "false");
d.addEventListener('toggle',()=> s.setAttribute("aria-expanded",d.open ? "true" : "false"));
}
});
</script>
</body>
</html> |