DateTime
stringdate
2007-01-01 04:30:00+0330
2025-04-07 21:30:00+0330
Currency
stringclasses
10 values
Impact
stringclasses
4 values
Event
stringclasses
593 values
Actual
stringlengths
1
9
Forecast
stringlengths
1
8
Previous
stringlengths
1
9
Detail
stringlengths
106
1.37k
2008-08-04T16:00:00+04:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Challenger Job Cuts y/y
140.8%
null
46.7%
FF Notice: Data leaked 68 minutes earlier than the scheduled release; | Source: Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of job cuts announced by employers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Thursday after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: It's extremely early data, but historically has limited short-term correlation with overall labor conditions; | Also Called: Job Cut Announcements;
2008-08-04T17:00:00+04:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Core PCE Price Index m/m
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Aug 29, 2008 | FF Notes: Differs from Core CPI in that it only measures goods and services targeted towards and consumed by individuals. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item which gives important insights into consumer spending behavior. CPI is released about 10 days earlier and tends to garner most of the attention; | Why Traders Care: It's the Federal Reserve's primary inflation measure. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-08-04T18:30:00+04:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Factory Orders m/m
1.7%
0.7%
0.9%
Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: This report contains a revision of the Durable Goods Orders data released about a week earlier, and fresh data regarding non-durable goods; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders;
2008-08-04T23:59:59+04:30
CAD
Non-Economic
Bank Holiday
null
null
null
FF Notice: Banks in some provinces do not observe this holiday and will remain open; | Description: Most Canadian banks will be closed in observance of Civic Day; | Usual Effect: Low liquidity and irregular volatility; | Next Release: Sep 1, 2008 | FF Notes: Most Forex brokers remain open for every holiday except Christmas and New Year's Day. Stock markets and banks have slightly different holiday schedules; | Why Traders Care: Banks facilitate the majority of foreign exchange volume. When they are closed the market is less liquid and speculators become a more dominant market influence. This can lead to both abnormally low and abnormally high volatility;
2008-08-05T00:00:00+04:30
USD
High Impact Expected
FOMC Statement
null
null
null
FF Notice: Source released statement 2 minutes earlier than scheduled; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Sep 16, 2008 | FF Notes: The FOMC usually changes the statement slightly at each release. It's these changes that traders focus on; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary tool the FOMC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their vote on interest rates and other policy measures, along with commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their votes. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement, Fed Statement, Monetary Policy Statement; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC);
2008-08-05T00:00:00+04:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
Industrial Production m/m
-0.2%
0.1%
-0.9%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: Mines and utilities make up around 20% of total production, so this data tends to be overshadowed by Manufacturing Production which makes up the other 80%; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings;
2008-08-05T00:00:00+04:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
RBA Rate Statement
null
null
null
Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Sep 2, 2008 | FF Notes: Until Dec 2007 the statement was only issued when the cash rate was changed; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the RBA Reserve Bank Board uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future decisions; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA);
2008-08-05T00:00:00+04:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
Manufacturing Production m/m
-0.5%
0.1%
-0.5%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: Manufacturing makes up around 80% of total Industrial Production and tends to dominate the market impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Factory production;
2008-08-05T04:00:00+04:30
AUD
Low Impact Expected
AIG Services Index
42.8
null
45.4
Source: Australian Industry Group (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed service-based companies; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the fifth business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Dec 2022; | Derived Via: Survey of about 200 service-based companies which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Performance of Services Index; | Acro Expand: Australian Industry Group (AIG);
2008-08-05T07:36:00+04:30
NZD
Low Impact Expected
ANZ Commodity Prices m/m
1.8%
null
0.0%
FF Notice: Initial release time was shifted 24 hours later due to source rescheduling. Data was subsequently released 6 minutes late; | Source: ANZ (latest release) | Measures: Change in the global price of exported commodities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 3 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Tends to have a muted impact because the tightly-correlated Australian commodity prices are usually released a few days earlier; | Derived Via: The average price of the nation's main commodity exports are sampled on the global market and then compared to the previous sampling; | Also Called: Commodity Price Index; | Acro Expand: Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ);
2008-08-05T08:15:00+04:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
10-y Bond Auction
1.53|2.6
null
1.70|3.1
Source: Ministry of Finance (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Conducted monthly; | Next Release: Sep 2, 2008 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted); | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: JGB Auction; | Acro Expand: Japanese Government Bond (JGB);
2008-08-05T09:00:00+04:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
Cash Rate
7.25%
7.25%
7.25%
Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Sep 2, 2008 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the RBA Rate Statement, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: Reserve Bank Board members come to a consensus on where to set the rate; | Also Called: Interest Rates; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA);
2008-08-05T11:45:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Spanish Services PMI
37.1
null
36.7
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 350 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-08-05T12:15:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Italian Services PMI
45.6
47.4
48.5
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-08-05T12:20:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
French Final Services PMI
47.5
47.0
47.0
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-08-05T12:25:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
German Final Services PMI
53.1
53.3
53.3
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-08-05T12:30:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Final Services PMI
48.3
48.3
48.3
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Jun 2007, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,000 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-08-05T13:00:00+04:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
Final Services PMI
47.4
46.7
47.1
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Nov 2019, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 650 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-08-05T13:30:00+04:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
Retail Sales m/m
-0.6%
-0.6%
0.5%
Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Tends to have a relatively muted impact because Germany and France, which account for about half of the Eurozone's economy, release earlier consumer spending data; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity;
2008-08-05T18:30:00+04:30
USD
High Impact Expected
ISM Services PMI
49.5
48.6
48.2
Source: Institute for Supply Management (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 4, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. Source changed series from unadjusted to seasonally adjusted as of January 2001. Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2008; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 300 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Non-Manufacturing PMI, Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business; | Acro Expand: The Institute for Supply Management (ISM), Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-08-05T19:00:00+04:30
NZD
Low Impact Expected
GDT Price Index
-12.9%
null
1.0%
Source: GDT (latest release) | Measures: Change in the average price of dairy products sold at auction; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Twice per month; | Next Release: Sep 2, 2008 | FF Notes: Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released. Source changed release frequency from monthly to twice per month as of Sep 2010; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the nation's trade balance with other countries because rising commodity prices boost export income; | Derived Via: The weighted-average price of the 9 dairy products sold at auction are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: GlobalDairyTrade (GDT);
2008-08-05T22:43:00+04:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Federal Funds Rate
2.00%
2.00%
2.00%
FF Notice: Source released decision 2 minutes earlier than scheduled; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Sep 16, 2008 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the FOMC Statement, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: FOMC members vote on where to set the target rate. The individual votes are published in the FOMC statement; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Fed Funds Rate; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC);
2008-08-06T00:00:00+04:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
NIESR GDP Estimate
0.1%
null
0.2%
Source: NIESR (latest release) | Measures: Change in the estimated value of all goods and services produced by the economy during the previous 3 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | FF Notes: NIESR estimates GDP data on a monthly basis in an effort to predict the quarterly government-released data. Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Acro Expand: National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
2008-08-06T03:31:00+04:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
Nationwide Consumer Confidence
51
59
62
FF Notice: Data reported 16 minutes later than released by source. We regret the error; | Source: Nationwide Building Society (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Source changed series from non-seasonally adjusted to seasonally adjusted as of Jul 2008. Source discontinued this data in Jun 2012; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 1,000 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions;
2008-08-06T06:00:00+04:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
Home Loans m/m
-3.7%
-2.1%
-6.9%
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of new loans granted for owner-occupied homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Nov 2019; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of demand in the housing market - most homes are financed, so it provides an excellent gauge of how many qualified buyers are entering the market; | Also Called: Dwelling Finance Commitments;
2008-08-06T09:30:00+04:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Leading Indicators
91.2%
90.8%
92.9%
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on 11 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. There's a revised version of this indicator released about 20 days later, but it's not included for lack of significance. Source changed series from a diffusion index to a composite index as of Jun 2008 and changed series calculation formula as of Jul 2023; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 11 economic indicators related to employment, production, new orders, consumer confidence, housing, stock prices, money supply, and interest rate spreads;
2008-08-06T11:30:00+04:30
CHF
Low Impact Expected
Foreign Currency Reserves
46B
null
47B
Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Measures: Total value of foreign currency reserves held by the SNB; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the fifth business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 4, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It provides insight into the SNB's currency market operations, such as how actively they are defending the franc's exchange rate against the euro; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB);
2008-08-06T14:02:00+04:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
BRC Shop Price Index y/y
3.2%
null
2.5%
FF Notice: Source released data 2 minutes later than scheduled; | Source: British Retail Consortium (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods purchased at BRC-member retail stores; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the last Wednesday of the current month; | Next Release: Sep 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Leads the government-released consumer inflation data by about 10 days, but has a narrower scope as it only includes goods purchased from retailers who belong to the BRC. This data is usually released 1 day before the Bank of England interest rate decision. Full reports are only available to BRC subscribers; | Acro Expand: British Retail Consortium (BRC);
2008-08-06T14:30:00+04:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
German Factory Orders m/m
-2.9%
0.4%
-1.4%
Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 4, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; | Also Called: Industrial Orders, Manufacturing Orders;
2008-08-06T18:30:00+04:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Ivey PMI
65.5
62.0
69.6
Source: Richard Ivey School of Business (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 5 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 5, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. Source changed series from non-seasonally adjusted to seasonally adjusted as of Mar 2011; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 175 purchasing managers, selected geographically and by sector of activity to match the economy as a whole, which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-08-06T19:05:00+04:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Crude Oil Inventories
1.7M
0.1M
-0.1M
Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Aug 13, 2008 | FF Notes: While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility; | Also Called: Crude Stocks, Crude Levels; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA);
2008-08-06T21:30:00+04:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
10-y Bond Auction
4.08|2.6
null
4.23|2.3
Source: Treasury Direct (latest release) | Measures: Highest yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Conducted monthly; | Next Release: Sep 11, 2008 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the highest interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted); | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Treasury Auction, Note Auction;
2008-08-07T00:00:00+04:30
NZD
High Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate
3.9%
3.8%
3.7%
Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous quarter; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 35 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Nov 6, 2008 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate;
2008-08-07T00:00:00+04:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
Halifax HPI m/m
-1.7%
-1.5%
-2.0%
Source: Halifax Bank of Scotland (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of homes financed by HBOS; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 5 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 4, 2008 | FF Notes: The exact release date is usually not announced by HBOS until shortly before it's released. There are 2 earlier reports on housing inflation, but this data is broad and based on HBOS's internal mortgage approval figures, which can lead sale-completion indicators by more than a month; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Also Called: HBOS HPI; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI), Halifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS);
2008-08-07T00:00:00+04:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate
4.3%
4.3%
4.3%
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 11, 2008 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate;
2008-08-07T00:00:00+04:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Unemployment Claims
455K
420K
448K
Source: Department of Labor (latest release) | Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends; | Next Release: Aug 14, 2008 | FF Notes: This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Claims, Initial Claims;
2008-08-07T00:00:00+04:30
EUR
High Impact Expected
ECB Press Conference
null
null
null
Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President and Vice President; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year, about 45 minutes after the Minimum Bid Rate is announced; | Next Release: Sep 4, 2008 | FF Notes: The press conference is about an hour long and has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility. The press conference is webcasted on the ECB website with a slight delay from real-time. Source changed release frequency from monthly to eight times per year as of Jan 2015; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary method the ECB uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate and other policy decisions, such as the overall economic outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement, ECB News Conference; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-08-07T03:15:00+04:30
NZD
High Impact Expected
Employment Change q/q
1.2%
0.1%
-1.3%
Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 35 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Nov 6, 2008 | FF Notes: Although this data is released extremely late, it's the earliest indication of the employment situation and tends to create hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
2008-08-07T04:00:00+04:30
AUD
Low Impact Expected
AIG Construction Index
41.6
null
40.3
Source: Australian Industry Group (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed construction companies; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 5, 2008 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Dec 2022; | Derived Via: Survey of about 200 construction companies which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Performance of Construction Index; | Acro Expand: Australian Industry Group (AIG);
2008-08-07T04:20:00+04:30
JPY
Medium Impact Expected
Core Machinery Orders m/m
-2.6%
-9.6%
10.4%
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new private-sector purchase orders placed with manufacturers for machines, excluding ships and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 11, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; | Also Called: Machine Orders;
2008-08-07T06:00:00+04:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
Employment Change
10.9K
4.5K
22.2K
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 11, 2008 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
2008-08-07T10:30:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
German Trade Balance
18.1B
15.0B
14.5B
Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Foreign Trade;
2008-08-07T11:15:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
French Trade Balance
-5.6B
-4.6B
-4.7B
Source: Ministry for the Economy and Finance (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Foreign Trade;
2008-08-07T12:30:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Italian Industrial Production m/m
0.1%
0.2%
-1.4%
Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 12, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output;
2008-08-07T14:30:00+04:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
German Industrial Production m/m
0.2%
0.8%
-1.8%
Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 5, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output;
2008-08-07T15:30:00+04:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
Official Bank Rate
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which the BOE lends to financial institutions overnight; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled monthly; | Next Release: Sep 4, 2008 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced in the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the Monetary Policy Summary, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: MPC members vote on where to set the rate. The individual votes are published 2 weeks later in the MPC Meeting Minutes; | Also Called: Interest Rates; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC);
2008-08-07T16:15:00+04:30
EUR
High Impact Expected
Main Refinancing Rate
4.25%
4.25%
4.25%
Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Sep 4, 2008 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the ECB Press Conference, held 45 minutes later. Source changed release frequency from monthly to eight times per year as of Jan 2015; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: The 6 members of the ECB Executive Board and 15 of the 20 governors of the Euro area central banks vote on where to set the rate, via rotation. The split of votes is not publicly revealed; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Refi Rate, Repo Rate, Minimum Bid Rate; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-08-07T17:00:00+04:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Building Permits m/m
-5.3%
-1.0%
2.0%
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new building permits issued; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 8, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's an excellent gauge of future construction activity because obtaining a permit is among the first steps in constructing a new building;
2008-08-07T18:30:00+04:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Pending Home Sales m/m
5.3%
-1.0%
-4.9%
Source: National Association of Realtors (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new construction; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: This data is released about a week later than Existing Home Sales, but it's more forward-looking as a contract is signed several weeks before the home is counted as sold; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction; | Also Called: Pending Resales;
2008-08-07T19:00:00+04:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
CB Leading Index m/m
-1.0%
null
-0.6%
Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 7 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 7 economic indicators related to production, new orders, consumer confidence, stock prices, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB);
2008-08-07T19:05:00+04:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Natural Gas Storage
56B
60B
65B
Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Aug 14, 2008 | FF Notes: Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand; | Also Called: Nat Gas Stocks, Nat Gas Inventories, Working Gas; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA);
2008-08-07T21:30:00+04:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
30-y Bond Auction
4.61|2.4
null
4.60|2.7
Source: Treasury Direct (latest release) | Measures: Highest yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Conducted monthly; | Next Release: Nov 13, 2008 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the highest interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted); | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Treasury Auction;
2008-08-07T23:30:00+04:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Consumer Credit m/m
14.3B
6.6B
8.1B
Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of outstanding consumer credit that requires installment payments; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 8, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's correlated with consumer spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money;
2008-08-08T00:00:00+04:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate
6.1%
6.2%
6.2%
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 8 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 5, 2008 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate;
2008-08-08T00:00:00+04:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q
1.3%
1.4%
2.2%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Annualized change in the price businesses pay for labor, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 35 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Nov 6, 2008 | FF Notes: While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). Due to the double revision schedule the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released a month apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer;
2008-08-08T00:00:00+04:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
M2 Money Stock y/y
2.1%
2.2%
2.2%
Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 8, 2008 | FF Notes: Much of this data is released in the Monetary Base report about a week earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation;
2008-08-08T04:20:00+04:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Bank Lending y/y
1.8%
null
1.8%
Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 9 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 8, 2008 | Why Traders Care: Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money;
2008-08-08T09:30:00+04:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Economy Watchers Sentiment
29.3
28.9
29.5
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed workers who directly observe consumer spending by virtue of their job; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 9 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 8, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,050 workers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current economic conditions; | Also Called: Eco Watchers Current Index;
2008-08-08T10:15:00+04:30
CHF
Low Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
Source: SECO (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 9 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 8, 2008 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate;
2008-08-08T11:15:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
French Gov Budget Balance
-32.8B
null
-50.1B
Source: French Treasury Agency (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between the central government's income and spending for the year-to-date; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 5, 2008 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates a budget surplus, a negative number indicates a deficit. Due to the year-to-date format, the data released in Feb covers the entire preceding year's budget, while the Mar release only covers the first month of the current year; | Also Called: General Budget Outcome;
2008-08-08T12:30:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Italian Prelim GDP q/q
-0.3%
0.0%
0.5%
Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Nov 14, 2008 | FF Notes: Data is prone to early leaks by news agencies. Leaks will be reported on the calendar but will be retracted if deemed incorrect. There are 2 versions of GDP released about 25 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Also Called: Preliminary GDP Estimate; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
2008-08-08T15:30:00+04:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Employment Change
-55.2K
5.0K
-5.0K
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 8 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 5, 2008 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
2008-08-08T17:00:00+04:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q
2.2%
2.5%
2.6%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Annualized change in labor efficiency when producing goods and services, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 35 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Nov 6, 2008 | FF Notes: While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). Due to the double revision schedule the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released a month apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Productivity and labor-related inflation are directly linked - a drop in a worker's productivity is equivalent to a rise in their wage. When businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer;
2008-08-08T18:30:00+04:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Final Wholesale Inventories m/m
1.1%
0.5%
0.9%
Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this indicator released about a week apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release, which the source first reported in Aug 2016, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a signal of future business spending because companies are more likely to purchase goods once they have depleted inventories;
2008-08-11T00:00:00+04:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
Goods Trade Balance
-7.7B
-7.4B
-7.4B
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Visible Trade Balance;
2008-08-11T00:00:00+04:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
PPI Output m/m
0.4%
0.5%
0.9%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 8, 2008 | FF Notes: Only includes goods produced domestically; | Also Called: Factory Gate Prices; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI);
2008-08-11T00:00:00+04:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y
-8.9%
null
-2.5%
Source: JMTBA (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new orders placed with machine tool manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Acro Expand: Japan Machine Tool Builders Association (JMTBA);
2008-08-11T06:00:00+04:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
RBA Monetary Policy Statement
null
null
null
Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly; | Next Release: Nov 10, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It provides valuable insight into the bank's view of economic conditions and inflation - the key factors that will shape the future of monetary policy and influence their interest rate decisions; | Also Called: Statement on Monetary Policy; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA);
2008-08-11T06:30:00+04:30
CNY
Medium Impact Expected
PPI y/y
10.0%
9.6%
8.8%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods purchased and sold by producers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers pay and charge more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI);
2008-08-11T10:30:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
German WPI m/m
1.4%
0.5%
0.9%
Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 12 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 11, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when wholesalers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Wholesale Price Index (WPI);
2008-08-11T10:55:00+04:30
CNY
High Impact Expected
USD-Denominated Trade Balance
25.3B
20.3B
21.4B
Source: CGAC | Measures: Trade Balance in US Dollars terms; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released. Tends to have a muted impact because similar insights are included with the Yuan-denominated Trade Balance, released about an hour earlier; | Acro Expand: Customs General Administration of China (CGAC);
2008-08-11T11:15:00+04:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
French Industrial Production m/m
-0.4%
0.5%
-2.9%
Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output;
2008-08-11T13:00:00+04:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
PPI Input m/m
-0.6%
1.0%
2.7%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and raw materials purchased by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 8, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI), Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-08-11T16:45:00+04:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Housing Starts
187K
210K
216K
Source: CMHC (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of new residential buildings that began construction during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12); | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because building construction produces a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, jobs are created for the construction workers, subcontractors and inspectors are hired, and various construction services are purchased by the builder; | Acro Expand: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC);
2008-08-11T17:00:00+04:30
CAD
Low Impact Expected
NHPI m/m
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of new homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 11, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Acro Expand: New Housing Price Index (NHPI);
2008-08-11T22:30:00+04:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Loan Officer Survey
null
null
null
Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Frequency: Released quarterly; | Next Release: Nov 3, 2008 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: It's correlated with spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers and businesses are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money; | Derived Via: Survey of large domestic banks and branches of foreign banks which asks respondents about changes in the standards and terms of the banks' lending and the state of business and household demand for loans;
2008-08-12T00:00:00+04:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Trade Balance
-56.8B
-61.8B
-59.2B
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 11, 2008 | FF Notes: The goods portion has a muted impact because it's a duplicate of the Goods Trade Balance data released about 5 days earlier. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: International Trade in Goods and Services;
2008-08-12T00:00:00+04:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
RICS House Price Balance
-84%
-90%
-87%
Source: RICS (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed property surveyors; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: Data represents the percentage of surveyors reporting a price increase in their designated area. Above 0.0% indicates more surveyors reported a rise in prices, below indicates more reported a fall; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of housing inflation because surveyors have access to the most recent price data by virtue of their job; | Acro Expand: Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS);
2008-08-12T00:00:00+04:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism
42.8
38.5
37.4
Source: RealClearMarkets (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the start of the current month; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism. Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Derived Via: Survey of about 1,500 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, and confidence in federal economic policies; | Also Called: RCM/TIPP Consumer Confidence; | Acro Expand: RealClearMarkets (RCM), TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP);
2008-08-12T00:00:00+04:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
Core CPI y/y
1.9%
1.7%
1.6%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the volatile food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 16, 2008 | FF Notes: The Core data has a mild impact relative to other countries because overall CPI is the central bank's mandated inflation target; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-08-12T00:00:00+04:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
RPI y/y
5.0%
4.9%
4.6%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 16, 2008 | FF Notes: RPI differs from CPI in that it only measures goods and services bought for the purpose of consumption by the vast majority of households, and it includes housing costs which are excluded from CPI; | Acro Expand: Retail Price Index (RPI), Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-08-12T03:31:00+04:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y
-0.9%
null
-0.4%
Source: British Retail Consortium (latest release) | Measures: Change in the value of same-store sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the first Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: Leads the government-released retail data by about 10 days, but has a narrower focus as it only includes retailers who belong to the BRC. Full reports are only available to BRC subscribers; | Also Called: Like-for-like Retail Sales; | Acro Expand: British Retail Consortium (BRC);
2008-08-12T04:20:00+04:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
PPI y/y
7.1%
5.8%
5.7%
Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by corporations; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 12 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when corporations raise the price of their goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: CGPI; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI), Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI);
2008-08-12T06:00:00+04:30
AUD
Low Impact Expected
NAB Business Confidence
-9
null
-9
Source: National Australia Bank Limited (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed businesses, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. There's a quarterly and monthly version of this survey - although the monthly survey is more timely and tends to have greater impact, the quarterly version has a larger sample size and additional questions regarding expectations; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 350 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions; | Acro Expand: National Australia Bank (NAB);
2008-08-12T06:30:00+04:30
CNY
Medium Impact Expected
CPI y/y
6.3%
6.6%
7.1%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to respond by raising interest rates; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the sampling done a year earlier; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-08-12T09:00:00+04:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Revised Industrial Production m/m
-2.2%
-2.0%
-2.0%
Source: METI (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 12, 2008 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this indicator released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings;
2008-08-12T09:30:00+04:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Consumer Confidence
31.4
32.1
32.6
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed households, excluding single-person homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 3 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 16, 2008 | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 8,400 households which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including overall livelihood, income growth, employment, and climate for major purchases; | Also Called: Consumer Mood, Household Confidence;
2008-08-12T11:12:00+04:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
French Final CPI m/m
-0.2%
-0.2%
0.4%
FF Notice: Source released data 3 minutes earlier than scheduled; | Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 12, 2008 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of CPI released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release, which the source first reported in Jan 2016, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. This is one of the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the primary calculation for this indicator; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-08-12T12:45:00+04:30
CNY
Low Impact Expected
Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y
44.5%
null
45.6%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total spending on domestic capital investments by foreign companies; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 10, 2008 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released. Data represents the year-to-date investment compared to the same period a year earlier; | Also Called: Yuan FDI YTD; | Acro Expand: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Year to Date (YTD);
2008-08-12T12:59:00+04:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
ONS HPI y/y
0.6%
1.5%
3.0%
FF Notice: Source released data 1 minute earlier than scheduled; | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 16, 2008 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in May 2016; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI), Office for National Statistics (ONS);
2008-08-12T13:00:00+04:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
CPI y/y
4.4%
4.1%
3.8%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 16, 2008 | FF Notes: This is considered the UK's most important inflation data because it's used as the central bank's inflation target; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the sampling done a year earlier; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-08-12T16:00:00+04:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
NFIB Small Business Index
88.2
null
89.2
Source: NFIB (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed small businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the second Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: Small Businesses are defined as an independent for-profit enterprise that employ between 1 and 250 people, not including the owners; | Derived Via: Survey of small businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including labor markets, inventories and sales, capital spending, inflation, earnings and wages, and credit markets; | Acro Expand: National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB);
2008-08-12T17:00:00+04:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Trade Balance
5.8B
5.7B
5.2B
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 11, 2008 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported. About 75% of Canadian exports are purchased by the US; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: International Merchandise Trade;
2008-08-12T18:30:00+04:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
JOLTS Job Openings
3.63M
null
3.63M
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Number of job openings during the reported month, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 9, 2008 | FF Notes: It's released late, but can impact the market because job openings are a leading indicator of overall employment; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Acro Expand: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS);
2008-08-12T22:30:00+04:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Federal Budget Balance
-102.8B
-88.5B
50.7B
Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between the federal government's income and spending during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the eighth business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 11, 2008 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates a budget surplus, a negative number indicates a deficit; | Also Called: Monthly Treasury Statement, Treasury Budget;
2008-08-13T00:00:00+04:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Retail Sales m/m
-0.1%
0.0%
0.3%
Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 12, 2008 | FF Notes: This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Advance Retail Sales;
2008-08-13T00:00:00+04:30
JPY
Medium Impact Expected
Prelim GDP Price Index y/y
-1.6%
-1.5%
-1.5%
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of all goods and services included in GDP; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 45 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Nov 17, 2008 | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of inflation, encompassing all activities included in GDP, and is a primary instrument that the central bank uses to assess inflation; | Also Called: GDP Deflator; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
2008-08-13T00:00:00+04:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Import Prices m/m
1.7%
1.0%
2.9%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of imported goods and services purchased domestically; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 11, 2008 | FF Notes: This is the earliest government-released inflation data; | Why Traders Care: It contributes to inflation for businesses and consumers, especially those who rely heavily on imported goods and services; | Also Called: Import Price Index;
2008-08-13T00:00:00+04:30
CNY
Low Impact Expected
M2 Money Supply y/y
16.4%
17.2%
17.4%
Source: People's Bank of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 12, 2008 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation; | Also Called: Broad Money;
2008-08-13T00:00:00+04:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate
5.4%
5.3%
5.2%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the past 3 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Sep 17, 2008 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: ILO Unemployment Rate, Jobless Rate;