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Florida Bay out of several algorithms considered by Pereira et al.
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(2019). This study utilized delineation instead of an algorithm
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derived from satellite data to map the sediment plume because
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the goal of this study was to map the extent of the plume, not SSC.
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Furthermore, the shallow waters and algal blooms within Florida
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Bay make isolating a sediment plume difficult and require an
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algorithm to be derived from extensive field sampling, which was
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not available for this study. Future work will focus on building
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upon the work done by Hajigholizadeh and Melesse (2017) to
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create an algorithm and threshold that maps the sediment plume
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within Florida Bay.
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Seagrass Cover
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Seagrass data was obtained from the Fish Habitat Assessment
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Program (FHAP), established through the Comprehensive
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Everglades Restoration Plan’s (CERP) Restoration, Coordination
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and Verification (RECOVER) program to “provide information
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for the spatial assessment and resolution of inter-annual
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variability in seagrass communities, and to establish a baseline
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to monitor responses of seagrass communities to water
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management alterations associated with CERP activities” (Hall
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et al., 2016; Hall and Durako, 2019). Monitoring for FHAP is
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conducted once a year in May–June (with the exception of 2015
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when monitoring occurred after the die-off in November) at
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30 sites within 17 basins across Florida Bay. At each site, eight
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0.5 × 0.5 m quadrats are deployed and benthic macrophyte cover
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is quantified using the Braun-Blanquet (BB) method (Hall et al.,
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2016). The BB method is a rapid and highly repeatable visual
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assessment technique that has been employed in Florida Bay for
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over two decades (Fourqurean et al., 2001; Furman et al., 2018).
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The scoring system is as follows: 0 = no presence, 0.1 = 1 shoot,
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0.5 = less than 5 shoots, 1 = many shoots but <5% cover, 2 = 5–
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25% cover, 3 = 25–50% cover, 4 = 50–75% cover, 5 = 75–100%
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cover. The BB score for total seagrass is then averaged for each
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site. Our study utilized 30 sites in Johnson Basin and 30 sites
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in Rankin Basin surveyed each year for a total of 720 seagrass
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measurements. To determine the relationship between seagrass
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cover and sediment plume extent, the total seagrass cover from
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the 30 sites within each basin was averaged to create one BB score
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per year for each basin.
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Data Analyses
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To determine the extent of the sediment plume and how it
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changed over time, the two classes were combined and the area
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of the plume was calculated for each time step (Figure 3C).
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A Generalized Additive Model (GAM) was used to model plume
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size across years using the R package “mgcv” (Wood, 2017). Two
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models were run in preliminary analyses: one with seasonality
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and one without seasonality to determine whether seasonality
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was a significant driver of plume size. A breakpoint analysis was
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run to determine years in which plume size significantly changed
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over the 12 years.
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In order to relate plume extent to changes in seagrass cover,
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plume expansion and contraction within Johnson and Rankin
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Basins were investigated. Shapefiles of Rankin and Johnson were
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used to determine the proportion of each basin the plume covered
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Frontiers in Marine Science | www.frontiersin.org 5 July 2021 | Volume 8 | Article 633240
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Rodemann et al. Sediment Plume and Seagrass Resilience
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within each image. A breakpoint analysis was also run on the
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Rankin and Johnson Basin time series individually to identify the
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years in which the plume coverage within each basin significantly
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changed. For all of the breakpoint analyses, the optimal number
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of breakpoints in the data was determined by the minimum
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Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC; Bai and Perron, 2003).
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Breakpoint analyses were done with the R package “strucchange”
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(Zeileis et al., 2002, 2003).
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In order to examine the interaction of plume expansion and
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seagrass cover, an analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used to
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test for differences in the proportion of each basin covered
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by the sediment plume and seagrass cover before and after
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the breakpoints between each basin. A Tukey’s HSD was run
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to identify which time periods significantly differed. Pearson’s
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correlation tests were run to test the relationship between
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the proportion of each basin covered by the sediment plume
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and seagrass cover. Only spring images (n = 12, includes the
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November measurement after the seagrass die-off) were included
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in the seagrass ANOVA and correlation analyses since seagrass
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cover was only monitored once a year in May–June. ANOVA and
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correlation analyses were done in R v 4.0.3 (R Core Team, 2020).
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RESULTS
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Accuracy of Sediment Plume Delineation
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The areal extent of the sediment plume in western Florida Bay
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increased over the period of the study (2008–2020). At its largest,
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the sediment plume covered an area of 249.2 km2
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, increasing
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108% from a minimum of 119.6 km2 during the period of
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observation (Supplementary Table 1). The overall accuracy of
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satellite imagery plume delineations tested with grab samples
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over 2017–2020 was 80.5% (Table 1). However, the majority
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(69.2%) of that error was due to lower turbidity measurements
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in the deeper, southern portion of our study area (around
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Rabbit Key Basin), where the bottom can be obscured by lighter
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sediment loads due to depth. The overall accuracy increased to
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93.1% when the deeper, southern area was excluded from the
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accuracy assessment.
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Sediment Plume Expansion Across the
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Study Area
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When considering the full spatial extent of the study, we
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observed a significant, non-linear increase of the plume over the
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period examined. The GAM results found that yearly variation
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TABLE 1 | Summary of accuracy assessment of images from 2017 until 2020
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using grab sample data provided by ENP.
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