DateTime
stringdate
2007-01-01 04:30:00+0330
2025-04-07 21:30:00+0330
Currency
stringclasses
10 values
Impact
stringclasses
4 values
Event
stringclasses
593 values
Actual
stringlengths
1
9
βŒ€
Forecast
stringlengths
1
8
βŒ€
Previous
stringlengths
1
9
βŒ€
Detail
stringlengths
106
1.37k
βŒ€
2008-12-03T12:20:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
French Final Services PMI
46.2
46.6
46.6
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 6, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-03T12:25:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
German Final Services PMI
45.1
46.2
46.2
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 6, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-03T12:30:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
Final Services PMI
42.5
43.3
43.3
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 6, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Jun 2007, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,000 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-03T13:00:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
Final Services PMI
40.1
41.2
42.4
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 6, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Nov 2019, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 650 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-03T13:30:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
Retail Sales m/m
-0.8%
-0.4%
0.0%
Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: Tends to have a relatively muted impact because Germany and France, which account for about half of the Eurozone's economy, release earlier consumer spending data; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity;
2008-12-03T14:03:00+03:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
BRC Shop Price Index y/y
2.7%
null
3.0%
FF Notice: Source released data 3 minutes later than scheduled; | Source: British Retail Consortium (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods purchased at BRC-member retail stores; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the last Wednesday of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 7, 2009 | FF Notes: Leads the government-released consumer inflation data by about 10 days, but has a narrower scope as it only includes goods purchased from retailers who belong to the BRC. This data is usually released 1 day before the Bank of England interest rate decision. Full reports are only available to BRC subscribers; | Acro Expand: British Retail Consortium (BRC);
2008-12-03T16:00:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Challenger Job Cuts y/y
148.4%
null
78.9%
Source: Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of job cuts announced by employers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Thursday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 7, 2009 | FF Notes: It's extremely early data, but historically has limited short-term correlation with overall labor conditions; | Also Called: Job Cut Announcements;
2008-12-03T16:45:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
-250K
-200K
-179K
FF Notice: Source changed series calculation formula as of this release; | Source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Estimated change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry and government; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Wednesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 7, 2009 | FF Notes: This data provides an early look at employment growth, usually 2 days ahead of the government-released employment data that it's designed to mimic. Source changed series calculation formula in Feb 2007, Dec 2008, and Nov 2012, to better align with government data; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: ADP analyzes payroll data from more than 25 million workers to derive employment growth estimations; | Acro Expand: Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP);
2008-12-03T17:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q
1.3%
1.0%
1.1%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Annualized change in labor efficiency when producing goods and services, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 65 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 5, 2009 | FF Notes: While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released a month apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Productivity and labor-related inflation are directly linked - a drop in a worker's productivity is equivalent to a rise in their wage. When businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer;
2008-12-03T18:30:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
ISM Services PMI
37.3
42.5
44.4
Source: Institute for Supply Management (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 6, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. Source changed series from unadjusted to seasonally adjusted as of January 2001. Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2008; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 300 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Non-Manufacturing PMI, Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business; | Acro Expand: The Institute for Supply Management (ISM), Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-03T18:45:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
FOMC Member Kroszner Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak about the Community Reinvestment Act and the mortgage crisis at a policy forum on concentrated poverty, in Washington DC. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Randall Kroszner; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Dec 5, 2008 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Mar 2006 - Jan 2009; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy;
2008-12-03T19:05:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Crude Oil Inventories
-0.4M
1.8M
7.3M
Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 10, 2008 | FF Notes: While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility; | Also Called: Crude Stocks, Crude Levels; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA);
2008-12-03T19:30:00+03:30
CHF
Medium Impact Expected
SNB Chairman Roth Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Fifteen months of financial turmoil: state of play" at the Centro Studi di Bancari, in Vezia; | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Speaker: SNB Governing Board Chairman Jean-Pierre Roth; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Mar 2, 2009 | FF Notes: SNB Chairman Jan 2001 - Dec 2009. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB);
2008-12-03T22:30:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Beige Book
null
null
null
Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: 8 times per year, 2 weeks before each FOMC meeting; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2009 | FF Notes: This analysis is used by the FOMC to help make their next decision on interest rates. However, it tends to produce a mild impact as the FOMC also receives 2 non-public books - the Green Book and the Blue Book - which are widely believed to be more influential to their rate decision; | Derived Via: Anecdotal evidence supplied by the 12 Federal Reserve banks regarding local economic conditions in their district; | Also Called: Current Economic Conditions;
2008-12-03T23:30:00+03:30
NZD
High Impact Expected
Official Cash Rate
5.00%
5.00%
6.50%
Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which banks lend balances held at the RBNZ to other banks overnight; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 7 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 28, 2009 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the RBNZ Rate Statement, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: The RBNZ Governor decides where to set the rate after consulting senior bank staff and external advisers; | Also Called: Interest Rates, OCR; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), Official Cash Rate (OCR);
2008-12-04T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
Official Bank Rate
2.00%
2.00%
3.00%
Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which the BOE lends to financial institutions overnight; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled monthly; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced in the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the Monetary Policy Summary, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: MPC members vote on where to set the rate. The individual votes are published 2 weeks later in the MPC Meeting Minutes; | Also Called: Interest Rates; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC);
2008-12-04T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Factory Orders m/m
-5.1%
-4.0%
-3.1%
Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 6, 2009 | FF Notes: This report contains a revision of the Durable Goods Orders data released about a week earlier, and fresh data regarding non-durable goods; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders;
2008-12-04T00:00:00+03:30
EUR
High Impact Expected
ECB Press Conference
null
null
null
Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President and Vice President; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year, about 45 minutes after the Minimum Bid Rate is announced; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: The press conference is about an hour long and has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility. The press conference is webcasted on the ECB website with a slight delay from real-time. Source changed release frequency from monthly to eight times per year as of Jan 2015; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary method the ECB uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate and other policy decisions, such as the overall economic outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement, ECB News Conference; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-12-04T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Treasury Sec Paulson Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak at the US-China Strategic Economic Dialogue meeting, in Beijing; | Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Speaker: US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson; | Next Release: Dec 5, 2008 | FF Notes: US Treasury Secretary Jul 2006 - Jan 2009. He speaks frequently on a broad range of subjects - only speeches that might have direct market impact are listed on the calendar; | Why Traders Care: It's the Treasury Secretary's job to communicate the US President's economic policies, and his speeches are often used to signal policy shifts to the public and to foreign governments; | Also Called: Hank Paulson;
2008-12-04T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Unemployment Claims
509K
540K
530K
Source: Department of Labor (latest release) | Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 11, 2008 | FF Notes: This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Claims, Initial Claims;
2008-12-04T00:00:00+03:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
Goods Trade Balance
2.95B
1.45B
1.25B
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | FF Notes: Source changed series from balance in goods and services to balance in goods as of Nov 2023. A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: International Trade in Goods;
2008-12-04T03:20:00+03:30
JPY
Medium Impact Expected
Capital Spending q/y
-13.0%
-9.9%
-6.5%
Source: Ministry of Finance (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new capital expenditures made by businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 60 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 5, 2009 | FF Notes: Data represents the change from the reported quarter to the same quarter a year earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their investment levels can be an early signal of future economic activity such as hiring, spending, and earnings;
2008-12-04T04:00:00+03:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
Building Approvals m/m
-5.4%
0.2%
-5.9%
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of new building approvals issued; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's an excellent gauge of future construction activity because obtaining government approval is among the first steps in constructing a new building. Construction is important because it produces a wide-reaching ripple effect - for example, jobs are created for the construction workers, subcontractors and inspectors are hired, and various services are purchased by the builder;
2008-12-04T10:15:00+03:30
CHF
Medium Impact Expected
GDP q/q
0.0%
0.0%
0.3%
Source: Federal Statistical Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 60 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 3, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
2008-12-04T11:30:00+03:30
CHF
Low Impact Expected
Foreign Currency Reserves
48B
null
48B
Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Measures: Total value of foreign currency reserves held by the SNB; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the fifth business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 7, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It provides insight into the SNB's currency market operations, such as how actively they are defending the franc's exchange rate against the euro; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB);
2008-12-04T12:30:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
Halifax HPI m/m
-2.6%
-1.0%
-2.4%
Source: Halifax Bank of Scotland (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of homes financed by HBOS; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 5 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 2, 2009 | FF Notes: The exact release date is usually not announced by HBOS until shortly before it's released. There are 2 earlier reports on housing inflation, but this data is broad and based on HBOS's internal mortgage approval figures, which can lead sale-completion indicators by more than a month; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Also Called: HBOS HPI; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI), Halifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS);
2008-12-04T13:30:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Revised GDP q/q
-0.2%
-0.2%
-0.2%
Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 65 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 5, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 3 versions of GDP released about 20 days apart Preliminary Flash, Flash, and Revised. The Preliminary Flash release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
2008-12-04T15:30:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
MPC Rate Statement
null
null
null
Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released with Official Bank Rate when the rate changes; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | FF Notes: Listed as a 'Tentative' event because a statement is usually only issued if the Official Bank Rate or Asset Purchase Facility changes (except under extreme conditions). If a statement is not issued this event will be removed from the calendar immediately following the rate release. If issued, the Tentative mark will be discarded; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the MPC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their vote on interest rates and other policy measures, along with commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their votes. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement; | Acro Expand: Monetary Policy Committee (MPC);
2008-12-04T16:15:00+03:30
EUR
High Impact Expected
Main Refinancing Rate
2.50%
2.75%
3.25%
Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the ECB Press Conference, held 45 minutes later. Source changed release frequency from monthly to eight times per year as of Jan 2015; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: The 6 members of the ECB Executive Board and 15 of the 20 governors of the Euro area central banks vote on where to set the rate, via rotation. The split of votes is not publicly revealed; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Refi Rate, Repo Rate, Minimum Bid Rate; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-12-04T17:00:00+03:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Building Permits m/m
-15.7%
-6.0%
12.5%
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new building permits issued; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's an excellent gauge of future construction activity because obtaining a permit is among the first steps in constructing a new building;
2008-12-04T17:45:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
FOMC Member Fisher Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak about the state of the US economy at the International Association of Energy Economics' North America Conference, in New Orleans. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Richard Fisher; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Dec 18, 2008 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2005, 2008, 2011, and 2014; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy;
2008-12-04T18:30:00+03:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Ivey PMI
40.2
50.0
52.2
Source: Richard Ivey School of Business (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 5 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. Source changed series from non-seasonally adjusted to seasonally adjusted as of Mar 2011; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 175 purchasing managers, selected geographically and by sector of activity to match the economy as a whole, which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-04T19:00:00+03:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
CB Leading Index m/m
-1.7%
null
-1.1%
Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 7 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 7 economic indicators related to production, new orders, consumer confidence, stock prices, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB);
2008-12-04T19:05:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Natural Gas Storage
-64B
-69B
-66B
Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 11, 2008 | FF Notes: Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand; | Also Called: Nat Gas Stocks, Nat Gas Inventories, Working Gas; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA);
2008-12-04T19:45:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak about housing and housing finance at the President's Conference on Homeownership and Mortgage Initiative, in Washington DC. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Fed Chairman Feb 2006 - Jan 2014. Fed Governor Feb 2002 - Jan 2014. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Reserve (Fed);
2008-12-05T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate
6.7%
6.8%
6.5%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Rate;
2008-12-05T00:00:00+03:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate
6.3%
6.4%
6.2%
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 8 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate;
2008-12-05T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
0.4%
0.2%
0.3%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price businesses pay for labor, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: This is the earliest data related to labor inflation. Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2010; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer;
2008-12-05T01:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
FOMC Member Kroszner Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to participate in a panel discussion about mortgage-backed securities at the President's Conference on Homeownership and Mortgage Initiative, in Washington DC. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Randall Kroszner; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Dec 8, 2008 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Mar 2006 - Jan 2009; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy;
2008-12-05T02:00:00+03:30
AUD
Low Impact Expected
AIG Construction Index
32.0
null
36.4
Source: Australian Industry Group (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed construction companies; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Dec 2022; | Derived Via: Survey of about 200 construction companies which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Performance of Construction Index; | Acro Expand: Australian Industry Group (AIG);
2008-12-05T07:35:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Treasury Sec Paulson Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak, along with Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan at the closing of the US-China Strategic Economic Development meeting in Beijing; | Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Speaker: US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson; | Next Release: Dec 19, 2008 | FF Notes: US Treasury Secretary Jul 2006 - Jan 2009. He speaks frequently on a broad range of subjects - only speeches that might have direct market impact are listed on the calendar; | Why Traders Care: It's the Treasury Secretary's job to communicate the US President's economic policies, and his speeches are often used to signal policy shifts to the public and to foreign governments; | Also Called: Hank Paulson;
2008-12-05T14:30:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
German Factory Orders m/m
-6.1%
0.2%
-8.3%
Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; | Also Called: Industrial Orders, Manufacturing Orders;
2008-12-05T15:30:00+03:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Employment Change
-70.6K
-21.0K
9.5K
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 8 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
2008-12-05T16:30:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Assist Treasury Sec Kashkari Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak about financial markets and TARP, in Washington DC; | Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Speaker: Interim Assistant Secretary for Financial Stability Neel Kashkari; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | Why Traders Care: He oversees implementation of the $700 billion TARP initiative and is involved in the details of how the money is used to strengthen the banking sector and bring liquidity to credit markets; | Acro Expand: Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP);
2008-12-05T17:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Non-Farm Employment Change
-533K
-320K
-320K
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Non-Farm Payrolls, NFP, Employment Change;
2008-12-05T18:30:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Mortgage Delinquencies
6.99%
null
6.41%
Source: MBA (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of MBA-represented mortgages which were at least one payment late during the previous quarter; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 45 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 5, 2009 | FF Notes: MBA represents about 80% of all outstanding mortgages. Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of delinquencies can be an important signal of the housing market's health because it's correlated with home inventories. Lower inventories will spur homebuilders to start new construction; | Acro Expand: Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA);
2008-12-05T23:30:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Consumer Credit m/m
-3.5B
2.0B
6.7B
Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of outstanding consumer credit that requires installment payments; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's correlated with consumer spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money;
2008-12-08T00:00:00+03:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Current Account
1.11T
1.16T
0.97T
Source: Ministry of Finance (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: The goods portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the Trade Balance data released about 20 days earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the country; | Also Called: Adjusted Current Account;
2008-12-08T00:00:00+03:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
M2 Money Stock y/y
1.7%
1.8%
1.8%
Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Much of this data is released in the Monetary Base report about a week earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation;
2008-12-08T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
PPI Output m/m
-0.7%
-0.6%
-1.0%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: Only includes goods produced domestically; | Also Called: Factory Gate Prices; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI);
2008-12-08T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
PPI Input m/m
-3.3%
-2.9%
-4.3%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and raw materials purchased by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI), Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-08T03:20:00+03:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Bank Lending y/y
3.2%
null
2.1%
Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 9 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money;
2008-12-08T04:00:00+03:30
AUD
Medium Impact Expected
ANZ Job Advertisements m/m
-8.6%
null
-5.9%
Source: ANZ (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of jobs advertised in the major daily newspapers and websites covering the capital cities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the first Monday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 12, 2009 | FF Notes: This data tends to have more impact when it's released ahead of the government employment data rather than after; | Acro Expand: Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ);
2008-12-08T08:30:00+03:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Economy Watchers Sentiment
21.0
20.0
22.6
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed workers who directly observe consumer spending by virtue of their job; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 9 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,050 workers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current economic conditions; | Also Called: Eco Watchers Current Index;
2008-12-08T11:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
FOMC Member Kroszner Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Assessing the Potential for Instability in Financial Markets" at the Risk Minds 2008 Global Risk Regulation Summit, in Geneva. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Randall Kroszner; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Jan 4, 2009 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Mar 2006 - Jan 2009; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy;
2008-12-08T13:00:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Sentix Investor Confidence
-42.3
-40.0
-36.4
Source: Sentix (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the first or second Monday of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 5, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 6,600 investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for the Eurozone;
2008-12-08T14:30:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
German Industrial Production m/m
-2.1%
-1.6%
-3.3%
Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output;
2008-12-08T16:45:00+03:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Housing Starts
172K
194K
212K
Source: CMHC (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of new residential buildings that began construction during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12); | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because building construction produces a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, jobs are created for the construction workers, subcontractors and inspectors are hired, and various construction services are purchased by the builder; | Acro Expand: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC);
2008-12-08T17:30:00+03:30
EUR
High Impact Expected
ECB President Trichet Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to testify before the European Parliament's Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs, in Brussels; | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet; | Next Release: Dec 8, 2008 | FF Notes: ECB President Nov 2003 - Oct 2011. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the ECB, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the euro's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-12-08T19:30:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
FOMC Member Kohn Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to participate in a panel discussion at the Office of the Thrift Supervision's National Housing Forum, in Washington DC. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Donald Kohn; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Aug 2002 - Sep 2010; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy;
2008-12-08T21:45:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
ECB President Trichet Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak at the annual reception of British Bankers’ Association at the European Parliament, in Brussels; | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet; | Next Release: Dec 11, 2008 | FF Notes: ECB President Nov 2003 - Oct 2011. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the ECB, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the euro's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-12-08T23:59:59+03:30
EUR
Non-Economic
Italian Bank Holiday
null
null
null
Description: Italian banks will be closed in observance of Immaculate Conception Day; | Usual Effect: Low liquidity and irregular volatility; | Next Release: Dec 25, 2008 | FF Notes: Most Forex brokers remain open for every holiday except Christmas and New Year's Day. Stock markets and banks have slightly different holiday schedules; | Why Traders Care: Banks facilitate the majority of foreign exchange volume. When they are closed the market is less liquid and speculators become a more dominant market influence. This can lead to both abnormally low and abnormally high volatility;
2008-12-09T00:00:00+03:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Final GDP Price Index y/y
-1.6%
-1.6%
-1.6%
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of all goods and services included in GDP; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 70 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. | Also Called: GDP Deflator; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
2008-12-09T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism
45.0
45.0
50.8
Source: RealClearMarkets (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the start of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism. Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Derived Via: Survey of about 1,500 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, and confidence in federal economic policies; | Also Called: RCM/TIPP Consumer Confidence; | Acro Expand: RealClearMarkets (RCM), TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP);
2008-12-09T00:00:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
French Trade Balance
-7.1B
-5.7B
-6.0B
Source: Ministry for the Economy and Finance (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Foreign Trade;
2008-12-09T00:00:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
ZEW Economic Sentiment
-46.1
-55.8
-54.0
Source: ZEW (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed German institutional investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the second or third Tuesday of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism. The ZEW survey is historically focused on the German economy, and Germany tends to lead the Eurozone economy, so this overall Eurozone outlook tends to be overshadowed by the German data released at the same time; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 160 German institutional investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for the Eurozone; | Acro Expand: Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW);
2008-12-09T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
JOLTS Job Openings
3.05M
null
3.21M
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Number of job openings during the reported month, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: It's released late, but can impact the market because job openings are a leading indicator of overall employment; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Acro Expand: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS);
2008-12-09T00:00:00+03:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Overnight Rate
1.50%
1.75%
2.25%
Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which major financial institutions borrow and lend overnight funds between themselves; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the BOC Rate Statement, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: BOC Governing Council members come to a consensus on where to set the rate; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Key Interest Rate; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC);
2008-12-09T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
Goods Trade Balance
-7.8B
-7.5B
-7.4B
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Visible Trade Balance;
2008-12-09T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
Industrial Production m/m
-1.7%
-0.5%
-0.3%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: Mines and utilities make up around 20% of total production, so this data tends to be overshadowed by Manufacturing Production which makes up the other 80%; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings;
2008-12-09T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
RICS House Price Balance
-77%
-83%
-81%
Source: RICS (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed property surveyors; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Data represents the percentage of surveyors reporting a price increase in their designated area. Above 0.0% indicates more surveyors reported a rise in prices, below indicates more reported a fall; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of housing inflation because surveyors have access to the most recent price data by virtue of their job; | Acro Expand: Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS);
2008-12-09T03:20:00+03:30
JPY
Medium Impact Expected
Final GDP q/q
-0.5%
-0.2%
-0.1%
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 70 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of GDP released about a month apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. Source changed series calculation formula as of Dec 2004, Aug 2002, and Dec 2000; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
2008-12-09T03:31:00+03:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y
-2.6%
null
-2.2%
Source: British Retail Consortium (latest release) | Measures: Change in the value of same-store sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the first Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Leads the government-released retail data by about 10 days, but has a narrower focus as it only includes retailers who belong to the BRC. Full reports are only available to BRC subscribers; | Also Called: Like-for-like Retail Sales; | Acro Expand: British Retail Consortium (BRC);
2008-12-09T04:00:00+03:30
AUD
Low Impact Expected
NAB Business Confidence
-30
null
-29
Source: National Australia Bank Limited (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed businesses, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 27, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. There's a quarterly and monthly version of this survey - although the monthly survey is more timely and tends to have greater impact, the quarterly version has a larger sample size and additional questions regarding expectations; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 350 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions; | Acro Expand: National Australia Bank (NAB);
2008-12-09T08:30:00+03:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Leading Indicators
85.0%
85.0%
89.2%
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on 11 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. There's a revised version of this indicator released about 20 days later, but it's not included for lack of significance. Source changed series from a diffusion index to a composite index as of Jun 2008 and changed series calculation formula as of Jul 2023; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 11 economic indicators related to employment, production, new orders, consumer confidence, housing, stock prices, money supply, and interest rate spreads;
2008-12-09T09:30:00+03:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y
-62.2%
null
-40.0%
Source: JMTBA (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new orders placed with machine tool manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2009 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Acro Expand: Japan Machine Tool Builders Association (JMTBA);
2008-12-09T10:15:00+03:30
CHF
Low Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate
2.7%
2.6%
2.6%
Source: SECO (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 9 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate;
2008-12-09T10:30:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
German Trade Balance
15.8B
14.0B
13.7B
Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Foreign Trade;
2008-12-09T11:15:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
French Gov Budget Balance
-60.7B
null
-56.6B
Source: French Treasury Agency (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between the central government's income and spending for the year-to-date; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates a budget surplus, a negative number indicates a deficit. Due to the year-to-date format, the data released in Feb covers the entire preceding year's budget, while the Mar release only covers the first month of the current year; | Also Called: General Budget Outcome;
2008-12-09T12:30:00+03:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
RBA Gov Stevens Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Interesting Times" at the Australian Business Economists Annual Dinner, in Sydney; | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Speaker: RBA Governor Glenn Stevens; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 10, 2009 | FF Notes: RBA Governor Sep 2006 - Sep 2016. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA);
2008-12-09T13:00:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
Manufacturing Production m/m
-1.4%
-0.6%
-0.9%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: Manufacturing makes up around 80% of total Industrial Production and tends to dominate the market impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Factory production;
2008-12-09T13:03:00+03:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
ONS HPI y/y
-7.4%
-6.5%
-5.1%
FF Notice: Source released data 3 minutes later than scheduled; | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in May 2016; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI), Office for National Statistics (ONS);
2008-12-09T13:30:00+03:30
EUR
High Impact Expected
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
-45.2
-55.7
-53.5
Source: ZEW (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed German institutional investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the second or third Tuesday of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 160 German institutional investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for Germany; | Acro Expand: Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW);
2008-12-09T16:00:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
NFIB Small Business Index
87.8
null
87.5
Source: NFIB (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed small businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the second Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Small Businesses are defined as an independent for-profit enterprise that employ between 1 and 250 people, not including the owners; | Derived Via: Survey of small businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including labor markets, inventories and sales, capital spending, inflation, earnings and wages, and credit markets; | Acro Expand: National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB);
2008-12-09T17:30:00+03:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
BOC Rate Statement
null
null
null
Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary tool the BOC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future decisions; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC);
2008-12-09T18:00:00+03:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
MPC Member Sentance Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak at the Monetary Policy and the Markets Conference, in London; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: External BOE MPC Member Andrew Sentance; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 24, 2009 | FF Notes: MPC voting member Oct 2006 - May 2011; | Why Traders Care: BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy;
2008-12-09T18:30:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Pending Home Sales m/m
-0.7%
-3.2%
-4.3%
Source: National Association of Realtors (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new construction; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 6, 2009 | FF Notes: This data is released about a week later than Existing Home Sales, but it's more forward-looking as a contract is signed several weeks before the home is counted as sold; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction; | Also Called: Pending Resales;
2008-12-10T00:00:00+03:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
PPI y/y
2.8%
2.8%
5.0%
Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by corporations; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 12 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when corporations raise the price of their goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: CGPI; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI), Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI);
2008-12-10T01:15:00+03:30
NZD
Low Impact Expected
Overseas Trade Index q/q
-2.3%
-2.6%
-0.4%
Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of internationally traded goods; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 60 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2009 | FF Notes: Calculates the volume of imports that can be purchased with an equal volume of exports; | Also Called: Terms of Trade Index, Overseas Merchandise Trade Index;
2008-12-10T03:00:00+03:30
AUD
Medium Impact Expected
Westpac Consumer Sentiment
7.5%
null
4.3%
Source: Westpac Banking Corporation (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the second Tuesday of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 21, 2009 | FF Notes: The impact tends to be mild but varies from month to month due to volatility in the data set; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 1,200 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, employment, and climate for major purchases; | Also Called: Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment;
2008-12-10T03:20:00+03:30
JPY
Medium Impact Expected
Core Machinery Orders m/m
-4.4%
-3.9%
5.5%
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new private-sector purchase orders placed with manufacturers for machines, excluding ships and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; | Also Called: Machine Orders;
2008-12-10T03:31:00+03:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
NIESR GDP Estimate
-1.0%
null
-0.8%
Source: NIESR (latest release) | Measures: Change in the estimated value of all goods and services produced by the economy during the previous 3 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2009 | FF Notes: NIESR estimates GDP data on a monthly basis in an effort to predict the quarterly government-released data. Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Acro Expand: National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
2008-12-10T04:00:00+03:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
Home Loans m/m
1.3%
1.0%
-2.4%
FF Notice: 'Actual' data initially misstated, then rectified 10 seconds after release. We regret the error; | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of new loans granted for owner-occupied homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2009 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Nov 2019; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of demand in the housing market - most homes are financed, so it provides an excellent gauge of how many qualified buyers are entering the market; | Also Called: Dwelling Finance Commitments;
2008-12-10T04:25:00+03:30
CNY
Low Impact Expected
Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y
26.3%
null
35.1%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total spending on domestic capital investments by foreign companies; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released. Data represents the year-to-date investment compared to the same period a year earlier; | Also Called: Yuan FDI YTD; | Acro Expand: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Year to Date (YTD);
2008-12-10T05:30:00+03:30
CNY
Medium Impact Expected
PPI y/y
2.0%
4.5%
6.6%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods purchased and sold by producers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers pay and charge more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI);
2008-12-10T09:50:00+03:30
JPY
Medium Impact Expected
BOJ Gov Shirakawa Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak at the parliamentary committee meeting, in Tokyo; | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Speaker: BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Dec 16, 2008 | FF Notes: BOJ Governor Apr 2008 - Mar 2013. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has important influence over the nation's currency value. Traders scrutinize his speeches as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy and interest rate shifts; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ);
2008-12-10T10:30:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
German WPI m/m
-3.3%
-1.4%
-1.5%
Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 12 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when wholesalers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Wholesale Price Index (WPI);
2008-12-10T11:15:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
French Industrial Production m/m
-2.7%
-0.6%
-0.8%
Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output;
2008-12-10T12:20:00+03:30
CNY
High Impact Expected
USD-Denominated Trade Balance
40.1B
32.0B
35.2B
Source: CGAC | Measures: Trade Balance in US Dollars terms; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released. Tends to have a muted impact because similar insights are included with the Yuan-denominated Trade Balance, released about an hour earlier; | Acro Expand: Customs General Administration of China (CGAC);
2008-12-10T12:30:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Italian Industrial Production m/m
-1.2%
-0.9%
-2.6%
Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output;