DateTime
stringdate
2007-01-01 04:30:00+0330
2025-04-07 21:30:00+0330
Currency
stringclasses
10 values
Impact
stringclasses
4 values
Event
stringclasses
593 values
Actual
stringlengths
1
9
βŒ€
Forecast
stringlengths
1
8
βŒ€
Previous
stringlengths
1
9
βŒ€
Detail
stringlengths
106
1.37k
βŒ€
2008-12-10T13:30:00+03:30
CHF
Medium Impact Expected
UBS Economic Expectations
-76.2
null
-88.5
Source: UBS AG (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed institutional investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 30 institutional investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for Switzerland; | Also Called: CFA/UBS Economic Expectations; | Acro Expand: Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS), Chartered Financial Analysts (CFA);
2008-12-10T17:00:00+03:30
CAD
Medium Impact Expected
Labor Productivity q/q
0.0%
0.1%
-0.3%
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in labor efficiency when producing goods and services; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 65 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 17, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Productivity and labor-related inflation are directly linked - a drop in a worker's productivity is equivalent to a rise in their wage. When businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer;
2008-12-10T18:30:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Final Wholesale Inventories m/m
-1.1%
-0.2%
-0.4%
Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this indicator released about a week apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release, which the source first reported in Aug 2016, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a signal of future business spending because companies are more likely to purchase goods once they have depleted inventories;
2008-12-10T19:05:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Crude Oil Inventories
0.4M
1.0M
-0.4M
Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 17, 2008 | FF Notes: While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility; | Also Called: Crude Stocks, Crude Levels; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA);
2008-12-10T22:30:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Federal Budget Balance
-164.4B
-176.0B
-237.2B
Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between the federal government's income and spending during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the eighth business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates a budget surplus, a negative number indicates a deficit; | Also Called: Monthly Treasury Statement, Treasury Budget;
2008-12-11T00:00:00+03:30
CHF
High Impact Expected
SNB Press Conference
null
null
null
Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Speaker: SNB Chairman and Governing Board Members; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled quarterly; | Next Release: Jun 18, 2009 | FF Notes: The conference is held when rates are announced in June and December. It's about an hour long and has 2 parts - first the prepared statements are read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create market volatility; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the SNB Governing Board uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy and the economic outlook; | Also Called: Interest Rate Media Conference; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB);
2008-12-11T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Import Prices m/m
-6.7%
-4.9%
-5.4%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of imported goods and services purchased domestically; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2009 | FF Notes: This is the earliest government-released inflation data; | Why Traders Care: It contributes to inflation for businesses and consumers, especially those who rely heavily on imported goods and services; | Also Called: Import Price Index;
2008-12-11T00:00:00+03:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate
4.4%
4.5%
4.3%
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate;
2008-12-11T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
10-y Bond Auction
2.67|2.4
null
3.78|2.2
Source: Treasury Direct (latest release) | Measures: Highest yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Conducted monthly; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2009 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the highest interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted); | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Treasury Auction, Note Auction;
2008-12-11T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Trade Balance
-57.2B
-53.5B
-56.6B
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: The goods portion has a muted impact because it's a duplicate of the Goods Trade Balance data released about 5 days earlier. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: International Trade in Goods and Services;
2008-12-11T00:00:00+03:30
CAD
Low Impact Expected
NHPI m/m
-0.4%
-0.1%
0.1%
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of new homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 12, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Acro Expand: New Housing Price Index (NHPI);
2008-12-11T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Unemployment Claims
573K
530K
515K
Source: Department of Labor (latest release) | Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 18, 2008 | FF Notes: This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Claims, Initial Claims;
2008-12-11T00:00:00+03:30
CHF
High Impact Expected
SNB Monetary Policy Assessment
null
null
null
Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled quarterly; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary tool the SNB Governing Board uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future rate decisions; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement, SNB Statement; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB);
2008-12-11T00:30:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Treasury Currency Report
null
null
null
Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Frequency: Twice per year; | Next Release: Apr 16, 2009 | FF Notes: Source does not provide a reliable release time and the report can be delayed for several days - the event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the report is issued. Market impact tends to vary and is mostly dependent on which countries the report will accuse of currency manipulation; | Why Traders Care: It provides a detailed review of global exchange rate policies, economic conditions, and central bank and government actions around the world. Most importantly, the report outlines countries that the Treasury deems currency manipulators; | Also Called: Report on International Economic and Exchange Rate Policies;
2008-12-11T00:56:00+03:30
NZD
Low Impact Expected
BusinessNZ Manufacturing Index
35.4
null
43.3
FF Notice: Source released data 4 minutes earlier than scheduled; | Source: BusinessNZ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates expansion, below indicates contraction; | Derived Via: Survey of manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Performance of Manufacturing Index;
2008-12-11T01:19:00+03:30
NZD
Low Impact Expected
FPI m/m
0.8%
null
-0.3%
FF Notice: Source released data 4 minutes later than scheduled; | Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of food and food services purchased by households; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Although food is among the most volatile consumer price components, this indicator garners some attention because New Zealand's major inflation data is released on a quarterly basis; | Acro Expand: Food Price Index (FPI);
2008-12-11T03:30:00+03:30
AUD
Low Impact Expected
MI Inflation Expectations
2.5%
null
3.3%
Source: Melbourne Institute (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the second Thursday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | FF Notes: Full reports are only available to Melbourne Institute subscribers. Source changed series calculation formula as of May 2014; | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Also Called: Consumer Inflation Expectations; | Acro Expand: Melbourne Institute (MI);
2008-12-11T04:00:00+03:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
Employment Change
-15.6K
-15.0K
36.5K
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
2008-12-11T05:30:00+03:30
CNY
Medium Impact Expected
CPI y/y
2.4%
3.3%
4.0%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to respond by raising interest rates; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the sampling done a year earlier; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-11T11:35:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
ECB President Trichet Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak about European financial integration at the 23rd International Zins Forum, in Frankfurt; | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet; | Next Release: Dec 15, 2008 | FF Notes: ECB President Nov 2003 - Oct 2011. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the ECB, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the euro's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-12-11T12:00:00+03:30
CHF
High Impact Expected
Libor Rate
0.50%
0.50%
1.00%
FF Notice: Source set a target range of 0.00% to 1.00%; | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Measures: London interest rate for 3-month Swiss franc deposits; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled quarterly; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2009 | FF Notes: This rate was the SNB's main operating target until it was discontinued in Jun 2019; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: SNB Governing Board members come to a consensus on where to set the target range for the rate; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Libor, 3-month Rate; | Acro Expand: London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor), Swiss National Bank (SNB);
2008-12-11T12:30:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
ECB Monthly Bulletin
null
null
null
Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, 7 days after the Minimum Bid Rate is announced; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Dec 2014; | Why Traders Care: It reveals the statistical data that the ECB Governing Board evaluated when making the latest interest rate decision, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-12-11T13:00:00+03:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
Consumer Inflation Expectations
2.8%
null
4.4%
Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 20 days after the survey is conducted; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,000 consumers, conducted by Ipsos, which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future; | Also Called: BOE/Ipsos Inflation Attitudes Survey, Median Inflation Expectations; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE);
2008-12-11T14:30:00+03:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
CBI Industrial Order Expectations
-35
-44
-38
Source: Confederation of British Industry (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates increasing order volume is expected, below indicates expectations are for lower volume; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their expectations can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 250 manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of order volume expected during the next 3 months; | Also Called: Industrial Trends Survey; | Acro Expand: Confederation of British Industry (CBI);
2008-12-11T17:00:00+03:30
CAD
High Impact Expected
Trade Balance
3.8B
3.4B
4.3B
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported. About 75% of Canadian exports are purchased by the US; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: International Merchandise Trade;
2008-12-11T19:05:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Natural Gas Storage
-67B
-83B
-64B
Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 18, 2008 | FF Notes: Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand; | Also Called: Nat Gas Stocks, Nat Gas Inventories, Working Gas; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA);
2008-12-11T21:30:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
German Buba President Weber Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Risk Transfer: Challenges for Financial Institutions and Markets" at the Bundesbank Conference, in Frankfurt; | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Speaker: Deutsche Bundesbank President Axel Weber; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 10, 2009 | FF Notes: Deutsche Bundesbank President and voting member of the ECB Governing Council Apr 2004 - Apr 2011. He's believed to be one of the most influential members of the council; | Why Traders Care: ECB Governing Council members vote on where to set the Eurozone's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba), European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-12-12T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Retail Sales m/m
-1.8%
-1.9%
-2.9%
Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2009 | FF Notes: This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Advance Retail Sales;
2008-12-12T00:00:00+03:30
CAD
Low Impact Expected
New Motor Vehicle Sales m/m
-0.9%
-0.9%
2.5%
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of new cars and trucks sold domestically; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Apr 2012; | Why Traders Care: It's a sign of consumer confidence - rising demand for expensive durable goods shows that consumers are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money;
2008-12-12T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Core PPI m/m
0.1%
0.1%
0.4%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2014. Food and energy prices make up about 40% of overall PPI which tends to mute the importance of the Core data; | Also Called: Core Finished Goods PPI, Core PPI for Final Demand; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI);
2008-12-12T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
1.7%
null
2.9%
Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2009 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM);
2008-12-12T00:00:00+03:30
NZD
High Impact Expected
Retail Sales m/m
-1.3%
0.0%
0.3%
Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 21, 2009 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Feb 2011;
2008-12-12T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
PPI m/m
-2.2%
-2.0%
-2.8%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2014; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: Finished Goods PPI, Wholesale Prices, PPI for Final Demand; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI);
2008-12-12T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Core Retail Sales m/m
-1.6%
-1.8%
-2.4%
Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2009 | FF Notes: Automobile sales account for about 20% of Retail Sales, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of spending trends; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Retail Sales Ex Autos;
2008-12-12T01:15:00+03:30
NZD
High Impact Expected
Core Retail Sales m/m
0.8%
0.8%
-0.6%
Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles and gas stations; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 21, 2009 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Feb 2011; | Also Called: Retail Sales Ex Autos;
2008-12-12T05:30:00+03:30
CNY
Low Impact Expected
Retail Sales y/y
20.8%
20.5%
22.0%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | FF Notes: This is the earliest look at vital consumer spending data. There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart - Prelim and Final. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity;
2008-12-12T08:00:00+03:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Revised Industrial Production m/m
-3.1%
-3.1%
-3.1%
Source: METI (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 19, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this indicator released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings;
2008-12-12T08:30:00+03:30
JPY
Low Impact Expected
Consumer Confidence
28.4
28.0
29.4
Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed households, excluding single-person homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 3 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 8,400 households which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including overall livelihood, income growth, employment, and climate for major purchases; | Also Called: Consumer Mood, Household Confidence;
2008-12-12T13:03:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Italian 10-y Bond Auction
4.43|1.4
null
4.49|1.4
Source: Department of Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable, about 14 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 29, 2009 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: BTP Auction; | Acro Expand: Buoni del Tesoro Poliennali (BTP);
2008-12-12T13:30:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
Industrial Production m/m
-1.2%
-1.0%
-1.8%
Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2009 | FF Notes: Tends to have a relatively mild impact because Germany and France, which account for about half of the Eurozone's economy, release earlier production data; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output;
2008-12-12T17:00:00+03:30
CAD
Low Impact Expected
Capacity Utilization Rate
77.4%
78.5%
77.7%
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of available resources being utilized by manufacturers, builders, mines, oil extractors, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 75 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 16, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers are nearing full capacity they respond by raising prices, and the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: Industrial Capacity Utilization Rate;
2008-12-12T18:25:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
59.1
54.8
55.3
Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2009 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM);
2008-12-12T18:30:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Business Inventories m/m
-0.6%
-0.3%
-0.4%
Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of goods held in inventory by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a signal of future business spending because companies are more likely to purchase goods once they have depleted inventories;
2008-12-15T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Industrial Production m/m
-0.6%
-0.7%
1.5%
Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Factory Output;
2008-12-15T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Low Impact Expected
NAHB Housing Market Index
9
9
9
Source: NAHB (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed home builders; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 21, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50 indicates a favorable outlook on home sales, below indicates a negative outlook; | Derived Via: Survey of about 900 home builders which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future single-family home sales; | Also Called: NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index; | Acro Expand: National Association of Home Builders (NAHB);
2008-12-15T00:00:00+03:30
JPY
Medium Impact Expected
Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index
-9
-9
1
Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed large businesses, excluding the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, around the end of current quarter; | Next Release: Apr 1, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. Source changed series calculation formula as of April 2004; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 850 large businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions; | Also Called: Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Index;
2008-12-15T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
BOE Quarterly Bulletin
null
null
null
Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly; | Next Release: Mar 16, 2009 | FF Notes: Tends to have a muted impact because some parts of the bulletin are released early; | Why Traders Care: This release includes commentary on market developments and monetary policy operations, along with reports on a range of domestic and international economic issues, market research, and market analysis; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE);
2008-12-15T00:00:00+03:30
CNY
Medium Impact Expected
New Loans
477B
null
182B
Source: People's Bank of China (latest release) | Measures: Value of new yuan-denominated loans issued to consumers and businesses during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money; | Also Called: New Yuan Loans;
2008-12-15T00:00:00+03:30
CNY
Low Impact Expected
M2 Money Supply y/y
14.8%
15.3%
15.0%
Source: People's Bank of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2009 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation; | Also Called: Broad Money;
2008-12-15T00:00:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
ECB Financial Stability Review
null
null
null
Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Twice per year; | Next Release: Jun 15, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's an assessment of conditions in the financial system and potential risks to financial stability - the evidence on strains and imbalances can provide insight into the future of monetary policy; | Also Called: Financial Stability Report; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-12-15T01:20:00+03:30
NZD
Low Impact Expected
Manufacturing Sales q/q
1.3%
null
-0.5%
FF Notice: Source released data 5 minutes later than scheduled; | Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the manufacturing level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 70 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 16, 2009 | Also Called: Economic Survey of Manufacturing, Manufacturing Activity;
2008-12-15T03:20:00+03:30
JPY
High Impact Expected
Tankan Manufacturing Index
-24
-23
-3
Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed large manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, around the end of current quarter; | Next Release: Apr 1, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. Manufacturing plays a critical role in the Japanese economy, and this survey is considered the best gauge of the industry's health due to it's large sample size and respected source. Source changed series calculation formula as of April 2004; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 950 large manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions; | Also Called: Tankan Large Manufacturers Index;
2008-12-15T03:31:00+03:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
Rightmove HPI m/m
-2.3%
null
-2.9%
Source: Rightmove (latest release) | Measures: Change in the asking price of homes for sale; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Jan 19, 2009 | FF Notes: This is the UK's earliest report on housing inflation, but tends to produce a relatively mild impact because asking prices and selling prices are not always correlated; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI);
2008-12-15T05:30:00+03:30
CNY
High Impact Expected
Industrial Production y/y
5.4%
7.2%
8.2%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | FF Notes: Chinese data can have a broad impact on the currency markets due to China's influence on the global economy and investor sentiment; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production is the dominant driver of the economy and reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle; | Also Called: Industrial Output;
2008-12-15T11:45:00+03:30
CHF
Medium Impact Expected
PPI m/m
-1.4%
-0.6%
-0.6%
Source: Federal Statistical Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and raw materials purchased by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 14 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: Producer and Import Prices, Producer Input Prices; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI);
2008-12-15T14:30:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
German Buba Monthly Report
null
null
null
Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly; | Next Release: Jan 19, 2009 | FF Notes: Market impact tends to be greater when the report reveals a viewpoint that clashes with the ECB's stance; | Why Traders Care: It contains relevant articles, speeches, statistical tables, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint; | Acro Expand: Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba);
2008-12-15T17:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Empire State Manufacturing Index
-25.8
-27.0
-25.4
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers in New York state; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 200 manufacturers in New York state which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions; | Also Called: New York Manufacturing Index;
2008-12-15T17:30:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
TIC Long-Term Purchases
1.5B
40.0B
65.4B
Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between foreign long-term securities purchased by US citizens and US long-term securities purchased by foreigners during the reported period; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2009 | FF Notes: This data represents the balance of domestic and foreign investment - for example, if foreigners purchased $100 billion in US stocks and bonds, and the US purchased $30 billion in foreign stocks and bonds, the net reading would be 70.0B; | Why Traders Care: Demand for domestic securities and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to purchase the nation's securities; | Also Called: Net Long-term Securities Transactions; | Acro Expand: Treasury International Capital (TIC);
2008-12-15T17:45:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Capacity Utilization Rate
75.4%
75.5%
76.0%
Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of available resources being utilized by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers are nearing full capacity they respond by raising prices, and the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer;
2008-12-15T21:00:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
ECB President Trichet Speaks
null
null
null
FF Notice: Text of the speech due to be released about 17 hours later than the speaking time listed; | Description: Due to speak at the Club for International Business Journalists, in Frankfurt; | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet; | Next Release: Dec 23, 2008 | FF Notes: ECB President Nov 2003 - Oct 2011. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the ECB, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the euro's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB);
2008-12-15T21:30:00+03:30
CHF
Medium Impact Expected
Gov Board Member Hildebrand Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Is Basel II Enough" at the School of Economics, in London; | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Speaker: SNB Governing Board Vice-Chairman Philip Hildebrand; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2009 | FF Notes: Governing Board member Jul 2003 - Jul 2015. He will be promoted to the Chairman position in Jan 2010; | Why Traders Care: SNB Governing Board members are responsible for setting the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB);
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
French Flash Services PMI
41.6
45.0
46.2
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Jan 23, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 750 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Building Permits
0.62M
0.70M
0.73M
Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of new residential building permits issued during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the 12th business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12); | Why Traders Care: It's an excellent gauge of future construction activity because obtaining a permit is among the first steps in constructing a new building; | Also Called: Residential Building Permits;
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
AUD
Low Impact Expected
Housing Starts q/q
-10.7%
-2.3%
0.2%
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of new residential buildings that began construction; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 75 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 19, 2009 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Sep 2012. Tends to produce a relatively muted impact because the tightly-correlated Building Permits data is released monthly; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because building construction produces a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, jobs are created for the construction workers, subcontractors and inspectors are hired, and various construction services are purchased by the builder; | Also Called: Dwelling Commencements;
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
FOMC Statement
null
null
null
FF Notice: Source released statement 6 minutes later than scheduled; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 28, 2009 | FF Notes: The FOMC usually changes the statement slightly at each release. It's these changes that traders focus on; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary tool the FOMC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their vote on interest rates and other policy measures, along with commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their votes. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement, Fed Statement, Monetary Policy Statement; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC);
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
CPI m/m
-1.7%
-1.2%
-1.0%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
Core CPI y/y
2.0%
1.8%
1.9%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the volatile food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | FF Notes: The Core data has a mild impact relative to other countries because overall CPI is the central bank's mandated inflation target; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
CPI y/y
1.1%
1.5%
3.7%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2009 | FF Notes: This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Housing Starts
0.63M
0.74M
0.77M
Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of new residential buildings that began construction during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the 12th business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12). This data is slightly overshadowed by Building Permits because they are tightly correlated and a permit must be issued before a house can begin construction; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because building construction produces a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, jobs are created for the construction workers, subcontractors and inspectors are hired, and various construction services are purchased by the builder;
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
RPI y/y
3.0%
3.1%
4.2%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | FF Notes: RPI differs from CPI in that it only measures goods and services bought for the purpose of consumption by the vast majority of households, and it includes housing costs which are excluded from CPI; | Acro Expand: Retail Price Index (RPI), Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
Flash Services PMI
42.0
41.2
42.5
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Jan 23, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Jun 2007, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 5,000 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Core CPI m/m
0.0%
0.1%
-0.1%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2009 | FF Notes: Food and energy prices account for about a quarter of CPI, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Federal Open Market Committee usually pays more attention to the Core data - so do traders; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Also Called: CPI Ex Food and Energy, Underlying CPI; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-16T00:00:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
German Flash Services PMI
46.4
44.0
45.1
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Jan 23, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 800 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-16T03:20:00+03:30
JPY
Medium Impact Expected
Tertiary Industry Activity m/m
0.4%
-0.2%
-0.7%
Source: METI (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of services purchased by businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their spending can be an early signal of future economic activity such as hiring, earnings, and investment;
2008-12-16T04:00:00+03:30
AUD
High Impact Expected
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
null
null
null
Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: 8 times per year, 2 weeks after the Cash Rate is announced; | Next Release: Feb 17, 2009 | FF Notes: Source first released in Dec 2007; | Why Traders Care: It's a detailed record of the RBA Reserve Bank Board's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA);
2008-12-16T05:30:00+03:30
CNY
Medium Impact Expected
Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y
26.8%
26.9%
27.2%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total spending on non-rural capital investments such as factories, roads, power grids, and property; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 22, 2009 | FF Notes: Data represents the year-to-date investment compared to the same period a year earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - changes in private and public investment levels can be an early signal of future economic activity such as hiring, spending, and earnings;
2008-12-16T07:30:00+03:30
JPY
Medium Impact Expected
BOJ Gov Shirakawa Speaks
null
null
null
Description: Due to speak at the parliamentary committee meeting, in Tokyo; | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Speaker: BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Dec 22, 2008 | FF Notes: BOJ Governor Apr 2008 - Mar 2013. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has important influence over the nation's currency value. Traders scrutinize his speeches as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy and interest rate shifts; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ);
2008-12-16T09:15:00+03:30
CHF
Medium Impact Expected
SECO Economic Forecasts
null
null
null
Source: SECO (latest release) | Frequency: Quarterly; | Next Release: Mar 17, 2009 | FF Notes: This report forecasts the major GDP components such as consumption and investment, together with key indicators including employment and inflation; | Why Traders Care: SECO is the federal government's source of expertise for all core issues relating to economic policy and their forecasts are well respected by market participants; | Acro Expand: State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO);
2008-12-16T11:15:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
French Final CPI m/m
-0.5%
-0.4%
-0.1%
Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of CPI released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release, which the source first reported in Jan 2016, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. This is one of the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the primary calculation for this indicator; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-16T11:20:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
French Final Private Payrolls q/q
-0.2%
-0.1%
-0.1%
FF Notice: Initial release time was shifted 5 days later due to source rescheduling. Source released data 5 minutes later than scheduled; | Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people, excluding the farming industry and government; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 75 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this indicator released about a month apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Also Called: Non-Farm Employment, Revised Employment;
2008-12-16T11:30:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
French Flash Manufacturing PMI
35.9
35.8
37.3
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Jan 23, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 750 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-16T11:45:00+03:30
CHF
Medium Impact Expected
Industrial Production q/q
-5.2%
-2.2%
9.3%
Source: Federal Statistical Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 75 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 17, 2009 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Mar 2012; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings;
2008-12-16T12:00:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
German Flash Manufacturing PMI
33.5
34.5
35.7
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Jan 23, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 800 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-16T12:30:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
Flash Manufacturing PMI
34.5
34.3
35.6
Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Jan 23, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Jun 2007, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 5,000 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI);
2008-12-16T13:00:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
CPI y/y
4.1%
3.9%
4.5%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | FF Notes: This is considered the UK's most important inflation data because it's used as the central bank's inflation target; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the sampling done a year earlier; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-16T13:30:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Final Employment Change q/q
-0.1%
null
0.2%
Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 65 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 16, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about 20 days apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Nov 2018, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;
2008-12-16T14:00:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
BOE Inflation Letter
null
null
null
Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Mar 24, 2009 | FF Notes: The letter is only issued when the latest CPI y/y is above 3.0% or below 1.0%, but can only be released once every 3 months; | Why Traders Care: It gives insight into the future of monetary policy - when CPI y/y moves more than 1% from the mandated target rate of 2%, the BOE Governor is required to write an open letter to the chancellor of the exchequer explaining what is being done to address the situation; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-16T17:00:00+03:30
CAD
Medium Impact Expected
Manufacturing Sales m/m
-0.5%
-0.6%
-0.3%
Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales made by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 20, 2009 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - manufacturers are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their sales can be an early signal of future activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Also Called: Manufacturing Shipments, Factory Sales;
2008-12-16T22:51:00+03:30
USD
High Impact Expected
Federal Funds Rate
<0.25%
0.50%
1.00%
FF Notice: Source set a target range of 0.00% to 0.25%. Source released data 6 minutes later than scheduled; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 28, 2009 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the FOMC Statement, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: FOMC members vote on where to set the target rate. The individual votes are published in the FOMC statement; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Fed Funds Rate; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC);
2008-12-17T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
Low Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate
6.0%
6.0%
5.8%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the past 3 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 21, 2009 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: ILO Unemployment Rate, Jobless Rate;
2008-12-17T00:00:00+03:30
USD
Medium Impact Expected
Current Account
-174B
-180B
-181B
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the previous quarter; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 75 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 18, 2009 | FF Notes: The goods and services portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the monthly Trade Balance data; | Why Traders Care: It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the country; | Also Called: International Transactions;
2008-12-17T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
Medium Impact Expected
Average Earnings Index 3m/y
3.3%
3.2%
3.3%
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price businesses and the government pay for labor, including bonuses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 21, 2009 | FF Notes: Data represents the 3-month moving average compared to the same period a year earlier. A figure that excludes bonuses is also released, but not included for lack of significance. Source changed series calculation formula as of Jan 2010; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: Average Earnings Including Bonuses;
2008-12-17T00:00:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
Final CPI y/y
2.1%
2.1%
2.1%
Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the CPI Flash Estimate and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. This is considered the Eurozone's most important inflation data because it's used as the central bank's inflation target, but it tends to have a relatively mild impact as the CPI Flash Estimate and German Prelim CPI are released about 15 days earlier; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-17T00:00:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
0-9-0
0-9-0
0-9-0
Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly; | Next Release: Jan 21, 2009 | FF Notes: The vote is reported in an 'X-X-X' format - the first number is how many MPC members voted to increase interest rates, the second number is how many voted to decrease rates, and the third is how many voted to hold rates; | Why Traders Care: The BOE's MPC meeting minutes contain the interest rate vote for each MPC member during the most recent meeting. The breakdown of votes provides insight into which members are changing their stance on interest rates and how close the committee is to enacting a rate change in the future; | Acro Expand: Monetary Policy Committee (MPC);
2008-12-17T03:00:00+03:30
AUD
Low Impact Expected
MI Leading Index m/m
-0.1%
null
-1.2%
FF Notice: 'Previous' data initially misstated, then rectified after release. We regret the error; | Source: Melbourne Institute (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 9 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the third Wednesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 28, 2009 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. Full reports are only available to Melbourne Institute subscribers; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 9 economic indicators related to consumer confidence, housing, stock market prices, unemployment expectations, hours worked, commodity prices, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Westpac/MI Indexes of Economic Activity, Westpac Leading Index; | Acro Expand: Melbourne Institute (MI);
2008-12-17T10:30:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
German Final CPI m/m
-0.5%
-0.5%
-0.5%
Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of CPI released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-17T12:30:00+03:30
EUR
Low Impact Expected
Italian Trade Balance
-0.07B
-1.03B
-2.58B
FF Notice: 'Actual' data initially misstated, then rectified 2 minutes after release. We regret the error; | Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 21, 2009 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported. This is one of the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the primary calculation for this indicator;
2008-12-17T13:00:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
Claimant Count Change
75.7K
45.0K
51.8K
Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 21, 2009 | FF Notes: It's the first indication of the employment situation, released a month earlier than the Unemployment Rate. Source changed series calculation formula as of Jun 2015; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Claims, Unemployment Change;
2008-12-17T13:30:00+03:30
EUR
Medium Impact Expected
Final Core CPI y/y
1.9%
1.9%
1.9%
Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2009 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash Core CPI Estimate and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Apr 2013, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI);
2008-12-17T14:30:00+03:30
GBP
High Impact Expected
CBI Realized Sales
-55
-41
-46
Source: Confederation of British Industry (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed retailers and wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 27, 2009 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates higher sales volume, below indicates lower. Source changed series calculation formula as of July 2009; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer spending because retailer and wholesaler sales are directly influenced by consumer buying levels; | Derived Via: Survey of about 125 retail and wholesale companies which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current sales volume; | Also Called: Distributive Trades Survey; | Acro Expand: Confederation of British Industry (CBI);