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This protocol defines a 99th-percentile SSEV as a case which causes more infections than would
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occur in 99% of infectious histories in a homogeneous population.
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During the SARS-CoV-1 2002–2004 SARS outbreak from China, epidemiologists defined a superspreader
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as an individual with at least eight transmissions of the disease.
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Superspreaders may or may not show any symptoms of the disease.
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SSEVs can further be classified into 'societal' and 'isolated' events.
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In April 2020 Jonathan Kay reported in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic: Factors in transmission
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Superspreaders have been identified who excrete a higher than normal number of pathogens during the
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time they are infectious. This causes their contacts to be exposed to higher viral/bacterial loads
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than would be seen in the contacts of non-superspreaders with the same duration of exposure.
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Basic reproductive number
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The basic reproduction number R0 is the average number of secondary infections caused by a typical
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infective person in a totally susceptible population. The basic reproductive number is found by
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multiplying the average number of contacts by the average probability that a susceptible individual
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will become infected, which is called the shedding potential.
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Individual reproductive number
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The individual reproductive number represents the number of secondary infections caused by a
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specific individual during the time that individual is infectious. Some individuals have
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significantly higher than average individual reproductive numbers and are known as superspreaders.
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Through contact tracing, epidemiologists have identified superspreaders in measles, tuberculosis,
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rubella, monkeypox, smallpox, Ebola hemorrhagic fever and SARS.
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Co-infections with other pathogens
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Studies have shown that men with HIV who are co-infected with at least one other sexually
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transmitted disease, such as gonorrhea, hepatitis C, and herpes simplex 2 virus, have a higher HIV
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shedding rate than men without co-infection. This shedding rate was calculated in men with similar
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HIV viral loads. Once treatment for the co-infection has been completed, the HIV shedding rate
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returns to levels comparable to men without co-infection.
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Lack of herd immunity
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Herd immunity, or herd effect, refers to the indirect protection that immunized community members
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provide to non-immunized members in preventing the spread of contagious disease. The greater the
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number of immunized individuals, the less likely an outbreak can occur because there are fewer
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susceptible contacts. In epidemiology, herd immunity is known as a dependent happening because it
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influences transmission over time. As a pathogen that confers immunity to the survivors moves
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through a susceptible population, the number of susceptible contacts declines. Even if susceptible
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individuals remain, their contacts are likely to be immunized, preventing any further spread of the
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infection. The proportion of immune individuals in a population above which a disease may no longer
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persist is the herd immunity threshold. Its value varies with the virulence of the disease, the
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efficacy of the vaccine, and the contact parameter for the population. That is not to say that an
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outbreak can't occur, but it will be limited.
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Superspreaders during outbreaks or pandemics
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COVID-19 pandemic: 2020–present
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The South Korean spread of confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection jumped suddenly starting on
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19–20 February 2020. On 19 February, the number of confirmed cases increased by 20. On 20 February,
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58 or 70 new cases were confirmed, giving a total of 104 confirmed cases, according to the Centers
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for Disease Control and Prevention Korea (KCDC). According to Reuters, KCDC attributed the sudden
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jump to 70 cases linked to "Patient 31", who had participated in a gathering in Daegu at the
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Shincheonji Church of Jesus the Temple of the Tabernacle of the Testimony. On 20 February, the
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streets of Daegu were empty in reaction to the Shincheonji outbreak. A resident described the
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reaction, stating "It's like someone dropped a bomb in the middle of the city. It looks like a
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zombie apocalypse." On 21 February, the first death was reported. According to the mayor of Daegu,
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the number of suspected cases as of 21 February is 544 among 4,400 examined followers of the
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church. Later in the outbreak, in May, A 29-year-old man visited several Seoul nightclubs in one
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night and resulted in accumulated infections of at least 79 other people.
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A business conference in Boston (MA) from February 26–28 was a superspreading event.
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Between 27 February and 1 March, a Tablighi Jamaat event at Masjid Jamek, Seri Petaling in Kuala
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Lumpur, Malaysia attended by approximately 16,000 people resulted in a major outbreak across the
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country. By May 16, 3,348 COVID-19 cases - 48% of Malaysia's total at the time - were linked to the
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event, and with approximately 10% of attendees visiting from overseas, the event resulted in the
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virus spreading across Southeast Asia. Cases in Cambodia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Brunei, the
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Philippines and Thailand were traced back to the mosque gathering.
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In New York, a lawyer contracted the illness then spread it to at least twenty other individuals in
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his community in New Rochelle, creating a cluster of cases that quickly passed 100, accounting for
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more than half of SARS-CoV2 coronavirus cases in the state during early March 2020. For comparison,
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the basic reproduction number of the virus, which is the average number of additional people that a
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single case will infect without any preventative measures, is between 1.4 and 3.9.
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On March 6, preacher Baldev Singh returned to India after being infected while traveling in Italy
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and Germany. He subsequently died, becoming the first coronavirus fatality in the State of Punjab.
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Testing revealed that he'd infected 26 locals, including 19 relatives, while tracing discovered
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that he'd had direct contact with more than 550 people. Fearing an outbreak, India's government
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instituted a local quarantine on 27 March 2020, affecting 40,000 residents from 20 villages.
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Initial reports claimed that Baldev Singh had ignored self-quarantine orders, and police
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collaborated with singer Sidhu Moose Wala to release a rap music video blaming the dead man for
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bringing the virus to Punjab. But Baldev Singh's fellow travelers insisted that no such order had
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been given, leading to accusations that local authorities had scapegoated him to avoid scrutiny of
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their own failures.
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A Tablighi Jamaat religious congregation that took place in Delhi's Nizamuddin Markaz Mosque in
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early March 2020 was a coronavirus super-spreader event, with more than 4,000 confirmed cases and
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at least 27 deaths linked to the event reported across the country. Over 9,000 missionaries may
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have attended the congregation, with the majority being from various states of India, and 960
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attendees from 40 foreign countries. On 18 April, 4,291 confirmed cases of COVID-19 linked to this
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event by the Union Health Ministry represented a third of all the confirmed cases of India. Around
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40,000 people, including Tablighi Jamaat attendees and their contacts, were quarantined across the
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country.
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On 11 May 2020, it came to light that a worker at a fish processing plant in Tema, Ghana was
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believed to have infected over 500 other people with COVID-19.
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As of 18 July 2020, more than one thousand suspected superspreading events had been logged, for
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example a cluster of 187 people who were infected after eating at a Harper's Restaurant and Brew
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Pub in East Lansing, Michigan.
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On 26 September 2020, President Trump announced his Supreme Court Justice nominee, Amy Coney
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Barrett. The announcement took place at the White House Rose Garden, where around 30 people
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attentively watched. The outbreak event has since been dubbed a “superspreader” event. Less than a
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week after the event, President Trump himself was diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2, as well as others who
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attended the Rose Garden event. By October 7, the Federal Emergency Management Agency memo revealed
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that 34 White House staff members, housekeepers, and other contacts had contracted the virus.
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Public health experts have said that the 2021 United States Capitol attack was a potential COVID-19
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superspreading event. Few members of the crowd attacking the Capitol wore face coverings, with many
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coming from out of town, and few of the rioters were immediately detained and identified.
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On 30 July 2021, it came to light that a Peruvian man, resident of Córdoba, Argentina, brought the
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Delta variant of COVID-19 after travelling to Europe, but he did not quarantine himself, infecting
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17 relatives and putting in isolation over 800 other people. He and other three people got arrested